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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Boston College Eagles vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Boston College Eagles

3-5

Quarterback Mason McKenzie

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

8-1

Quarterback CJ Carr

Saturday, November 14 · 3:30 PM ET

BCOffense2026 regular season to dateND

67th+0.061

EPA/play

+0.2658th

73rd46.5%

Success %

52.9%10th

97th21.9

PPG

39.34th

BCDefenseND

48th+0.013

EPA/play allowed

−0.04431st

83rd47.7%

Success % allowed

47.5%78th

87th28.4

Opp PPG

14.68th

BCRecent formND

L@ SMU 16-25Wvs Pittsburgh 27-21W@ Georgia Tech 49-27L@ Duke 2-47Lvs Florida State 24-31

Resultsoldest to newest

W@ North Carolina 37-26Wvs Stanford 58-7L@ BYU 24-28W@ Navy 35-13Wvs Miami 31-24

4-5

Record

8-1

5-4

ATS

4-5

3-6

Over–under

6-3

BCHome and roadseason to dateND

3-2

Home record

5-0

1-3

Road record

3-1

3-2

Home ATS

3-2

2-2

Road ATS

1-3

2-3

Home O/U

3-2

1-3

Road O/U

3-1

BCLast 10 gamesND

Game by game

4-5

Last 9

8-1

-46

Net points

+223

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

BCRest & travelND

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

774 mi1,245 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Notre Dame Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Boston College (3-5) visits Notre Dame (8-1) on Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET.

Boston College has the 67th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 48th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Notre Dame has the 8th-ranked offense and the 31st-ranked defense. When Boston College has the ball, a 67th-ranked offense (+0.061 EPA per play) meets a 31st-ranked defense (−0.044 allowed); when Notre Dame has it, a 8th-ranked offense (+0.265) meets a 48th-ranked defense (+0.013 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Boston College offense is at 46.5% (73rd) and the Notre Dame offense at 52.9% (10th). Boston College scores 21.9 points per game (97th) and allows 28.4 (87th); Notre Dame scores 39.3 (4th) and allows 14.6 (8th).

Boston College is 4-5 and 5-4 against the spread; its last game was a 31-24 loss to Florida State. Notre Dame is 8-1 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 31-24 win over Miami.

Notre Dame is a 29.5-point favorite at home against Boston College. The spread opened at Notre Dame -30.5. The total is 52.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Boston College +1895, Notre Dame -5455) prices Boston College at 5% and Notre Dame at 95%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1

OpenNotre Dame -30.5 (-115)
Boston College +30.5 (-105)

NowNotre Dame -29.5 (-109)
Boston College +29.5 (-110)

Totalno move

Open52.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now52.5 (o -108 / u -111)

Moneyline

OpenBoston College +2541 4%
Notre Dame -8890 96%

NowBoston College +1895 5%
Notre Dame -5455 95%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

Boston College +29.5-104Novig
Notre Dame -29.5+100Novig
Over 52.5-105Hard Rock
Under 52.5-104ProphetX
Boston College+3348Novig
Notre Dame-3900Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Boston College

QB · Mason McKenzie

Attempts228
Completion %57.5%193rd
Passing yards1,616144th
Yards per attempt7.1152nd
TD–INT10–8

Leading rusher (QB) · Mason McKenzie

Rushing yards67644th
Season line145 carries, 676 yds, 5 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Javarius Green

Receiving yards322280th
Season line31 catches, 322 yds, 2 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Anthony Palano

Tackles7635th

Notre Dame

QB · CJ Carr

Attempts244
Completion %67.6%
Passing yards2,041
Yards per attempt8.4
TD–INT21–1

Leading rusher (RB) · Nolan James Jr.

Rushing yards57173rd
Season line106 carries, 571 yds, 9 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Jordan Faison

Receiving yards57465th
Season line44 catches, 574 yds, 5 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Drayk Bowen

Tackles45363rd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Boston College	Notre Dame
Early-down success rateBoston College offense vs Notre Dame defense	42.8%69th	43.4%80th
Early-down success rateNotre Dame offense vs Boston College defense	44.6%100th	48.6%7th
3rd-down conversion rateBoston College offense vs Notre Dame defense	38.9%81st	41.8%75th
3rd-down conversion rateNotre Dame offense vs Boston College defense	40.2%63rd	39.5%73rd
Explosive play rateBoston College offense vs Notre Dame defense	6.4%86th	4.0%4th
Explosive play rateNotre Dame offense vs Boston College defense	5.8%33rd	7.6%40th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	46.6%104th-highest	50.0%75th-highest

On 3rd down Boston College converts 38.9% (81st) against a Notre Dame defense allowing 41.8% (75th).

On 3rd down Notre Dame converts 39.5% (73rd) against a Boston College defense allowing 40.2% (63rd).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Boston College	Notre Dame
Head coach	Bill O'Brien	Marcus Freeman
Tenureat this school	3rd season	5th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	13–21	51–13
Career recordas an FBS head coach	28–30	51–13
Offensive coordinator	Bill O'Brien	Mike Denbrock
Defensive coordinator	Ted Roof	Chris Ash / Aaron Henry

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Boston College won 0 and Notre Dame 2.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 1, 2025	Notre Dame 25, Boston College 10 Notre Dame won
Nov 19, 2022	Boston College 0, Notre Dame 44 Notre Dame won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams