Duke Blue Devils vs Miami Hurricanes Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026
DUKEOffense2026 regular season to dateMIA
DUKEDefenseMIADUKERecent formMIADUKEHome and roadseason to dateMIADUKELast 10 gamesMIARest & travelrest and travel
DUKERest & travelMIAAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Duke (6-2) visits Miami (7-1) on Saturday, November 14 at 12:00 PM ET.
Duke has the 47th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 43rd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Miami has the 4th-ranked offense and the 92nd-ranked defense. When Duke has the ball, a 47th-ranked offense (+0.109 EPA per play) meets a 92nd-ranked defense (+0.115 allowed); when Miami has it, a 4th-ranked offense (+0.326) meets a 43rd-ranked defense (−0.002 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Duke offense is at 45.6% (83rd) and the Miami offense at 57.3% (1st). Duke scores 29.4 points per game (44th) and allows 13.8 (4th); Miami scores 41.0 (3rd) and allows 20.8 (29th).
Duke is 7-2 and 7-2 against the spread; its last game was a 41-3 win over NC State. Miami is 8-1 and 6-3 against the spread; its last game was a 31-24 loss to Notre Dame.
Miami is a 13.5-point favorite at home against Duke. The spread opened at Miami -15.5. The total is 54.5, down from 55.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Duke +425, Miami -590) prices Duke at 18% and Miami at 82%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Duke +15.5 (-110)
Duke +13.5 (-109)
Miami -750 85%
Miami -590 82%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 12
- Duke +13.5+102Novig
- Miami -13.5-108Novig
- Over 54.5-106Caesars
- Under 54.5+100Novig
- Duke+475BetRivers
- Miami-500ProphetX
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts246
- Completion %63.0%109th
- Passing yards1,849103rd
- Yards per attempt7.5103rd
- TD–INT10–3
- Rushing yards1,1892nd
- Season line191 carries, 1189 yds, 17 TD
- Receiving yards360224th
- Season line27 catches, 360 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles51260th
- Attempts276
- Completion %76.8%1st
- Passing yards2,70115th
- Yards per attempt9.86th
- TD–INT28–2
- Rushing yards514102nd
- Season line107 carries, 514 yds, 9 TD
- Receiving yards1,0273rd
- Season line73 catches, 1027 yds, 13 TD
- Tackles56192nd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Duke | Miami |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateDuke offense vs Miami defense | 41.4%90th | 43.0%76th |
| Early-down success rateMiami offense vs Duke defense | 42.3%55th | 50.0%4th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateDuke offense vs Miami defense | 43.6%37th | 39.8%59th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateMiami offense vs Duke defense | 29.5%3rd | 54.5%4th |
| Explosive play rateDuke offense vs Miami defense | 8.0%28th | 7.8%99th |
| Explosive play rateMiami offense vs Duke defense | 5.2%22nd | 9.0%11th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 49.0%83rd-highest | 53.3%39th-highest |
On 3rd down Duke converts 43.6% (37th) against a Miami defense allowing 39.8% (59th).
On 3rd down Miami converts 54.5% (4th) against a Duke defense allowing 29.5% (3rd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Duke | Miami |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Manny Diaz | Mario Cristobal |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 5th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 25–11 | 43–20 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 46–26 | 105–80 |
| Offensive coordinator | Jonathan Brewer | Shannon Dawson |
| Defensive coordinator | Jonathan Patke | Corey Hetherman |
Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Duke won 1 and Miami 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | Duke 31, Miami 53 Miami won | ||
| Oct 22, 2022 | Duke 45, Miami 21 Duke won | ||
| Nov 27, 2021 | Miami 47, Duke 10 Miami won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Duke Blue Devils
- Duke Blue Devils team stats
- Duke Blue Devils 41, NC State Wolfpack 3 (Nov 7)
- Boston College Eagles 2, Duke Blue Devils 47 (Oct 31)
- Duke Blue Devils 19, Virginia Cavaliers 16 (Oct 23)
Miami Hurricanes
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