Kennesaw State Owls vs Sam Houston State Bearkats Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Kennesaw State (2-6) visits Sam Houston (0-8) on Saturday, November 14 at 2:00 PM ET.
Kennesaw State has the 82nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 85th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Sam Houston has the 125th-ranked offense and the 50th-ranked defense. When Kennesaw State has the ball, a 82nd-ranked offense (+0.023 EPA per play) meets a 50th-ranked defense (+0.017 allowed); when Sam Houston has it, a 125th-ranked offense (−0.108) meets a 85th-ranked defense (+0.093 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Kennesaw State offense is at 48.3% (45th) and the Sam Houston offense at 39.3% (136th). Kennesaw State scores 22.4 points per game (92nd) and allows 30.4 (100th); Sam Houston scores 12.4 (137th) and allows 31.0 (103rd).
Kennesaw State is 3-6 and 6-3 against the spread; its last game was a 42-40 win over Delaware. Sam Houston is 1-8 and 3-6 against the spread; its last game was a 47-14 loss to Jacksonville State.
Kennesaw State is a 7.5-point road favorite, with Sam Houston getting the points at home. The spread opened at Kennesaw State -9.5. The total is 46.5, down from 47.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Kennesaw State -300, Sam Houston +240) prices Kennesaw State at 72% and Sam Houston at 28%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Kennesaw State -9.5 (-106)
Kennesaw State -7.5 (-105)
Sam Houston +267 26%
Sam Houston +240 28%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 12
- Kennesaw State -7.5+100Novig
- Sam Houston +7.5-106Novig
- Over 46.5+100Novig
- Under 46.5-106Novig
- Kennesaw State-270Novig
- Sam Houston+264Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts236
- Completion %69.9%15th
- Passing yards1,672133rd
- Yards per attempt7.1153rd
- TD–INT7–7
- Rushing yards448132nd
- Season line100 carries, 448 yds, 8 TD
- Receiving yards440146th
- Season line28 catches, 440 yds
- Tackles6968th
- Attempts257
- Completion %63.4%103rd
- Passing yards1,779114th
- Yards per attempt6.9168th
- TD–INT13–5
- Rushing yards235316th
- Season line62 carries, 235 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving yards437151st
- Season line28 catches, 437 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles52246th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Kennesaw State | Sam Houston |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateKennesaw State offense vs Sam Houston defense | 45.0%40th | 41.5%41st |
| Early-down success rateSam Houston offense vs Kennesaw State defense | 46.9%124th | 37.1%129th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateKennesaw State offense vs Sam Houston defense | 38.5%86th | 31.2%8th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSam Houston offense vs Kennesaw State defense | 44.8%108th | 29.7%131st |
| Explosive play rateKennesaw State offense vs Sam Houston defense | 5.7%108th | 7.1%79th |
| Explosive play rateSam Houston offense vs Kennesaw State defense | 6.2%52nd | 4.8%131st |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 55.4%22nd-highest | 62.7%4th-highest |
On 3rd down Kennesaw State converts 38.5% (86th) against a Sam Houston defense allowing 31.2% (8th).
On 3rd down Sam Houston converts 29.7% (131st) against a Kennesaw State defense allowing 44.8% (108th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Kennesaw State | Sam Houston |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Jerry Mack | Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay (interim) |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 13–10 | 0–1 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 13–10 | 0–1 |
| Offensive coordinator | Mitch Militello | Zack Patterson |
| Defensive coordinator | Marc Mattioli | Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay |
Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Kennesaw State won 0 and Sam Houston 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | Sam Houston 23, Kennesaw State 17 Sam Houston won | ||
| Nov 4, 2023 | Kennesaw State 21, Sam Houston 24 Sam Houston won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Kennesaw State Owls
- Kennesaw State Owls team stats
- Delaware Blue Hens 40, Kennesaw State Owls 42 (Nov 7)
- Kennesaw State Owls 44, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 28 (Oct 28)
- Liberty Flames 34, Kennesaw State Owls 6 (Oct 22)
Sam Houston State Bearkats
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