Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Baylor (5-3) visits BYU (6-2) on Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET.
Baylor has the 93rd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 17th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, BYU has the 23rd-ranked offense and the 44th-ranked defense. When Baylor has the ball, a 93rd-ranked offense (+0.002 EPA per play) meets a 44th-ranked defense (−0.002 allowed); when BYU has it, a 23rd-ranked offense (+0.182) meets a 17th-ranked defense (−0.080 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Baylor offense is at 42.6% (117th) and the BYU offense at 48.8% (40th). Baylor scores 30.4 points per game (35th) and allows 18.8 (21st); BYU scores 27.0 (61st) and allows 21.4 (34th).
Baylor is 6-3 and 7-2 against the spread; its last game was a 42-31 win over Iowa State. BYU is 7-2 and 6-3 against the spread; its last game was a 28-20 loss to Utah.
BYU is a 7.5-point favorite at home against Baylor. The spread opened at BYU -6.5. The total is 48.5, down from 49.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Baylor +230, BYU -295) prices Baylor at 29% and BYU at 71%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Baylor +6.5 (-115)
Baylor +7.5 (-115)
BYU -240 68%
BYU -295 71%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 12
- Baylor +7.5-108Novig
- BYU -7.5+102Novig
- Over 48.5-105theScore Bet
- Under 48.5+102Novig
- Baylor+251Novig
- BYU-257Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts257
- Completion %52.9%
- Passing yards1,773
- Yards per attempt6.9
- TD–INT15–4
- Rushing yards361198th
- Season line80 carries, 361 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards85213th
- Season line69 catches, 852 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles63120th
- Attempts249
- Completion %62.7%113th
- Passing yards2,02272nd
- Yards per attempt8.162nd
- TD–INT13–8
- Rushing yards395166th
- Season line88 carries, 395 yds, 7 TD
- Receiving yards70331st
- Season line39 catches, 703 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles59156th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Baylor | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateBaylor offense vs BYU defense | 38.7%121st | 40.6%31st |
| Early-down success rateBYU offense vs Baylor defense | 41.1%36th | 40.8%99th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateBaylor offense vs BYU defense | 39.2%78th | 41.7%74th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateBYU offense vs Baylor defense | 36.1%33rd | 49.5%15th |
| Explosive play rateBaylor offense vs BYU defense | 8.4%21st | 5.7%31st |
| Explosive play rateBYU offense vs Baylor defense | 6.1%48th | 6.9%66th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 53.9%35th-highest | 48.5%87th-highest |
On 3rd down Baylor converts 39.2% (78th) against a BYU defense allowing 41.7% (74th).
On 3rd down BYU converts 49.5% (15th) against a Baylor defense allowing 36.1% (33rd).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Baylor | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Joe Klanderman (interim) (interim) | Kalani Sitake |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 11th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 2–0 | 91–47 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 2–0 | 91–47 |
| Offensive coordinator | Jake Spavital | Aaron Roderick |
| Defensive coordinator | Joe Klanderman | Kelly Poppinga |
Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Baylor won 1 and BYU 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | BYU 34, Baylor 28 BYU won | ||
| Sep 10, 2022 | Baylor 20, BYU 26 BYU won | ||
| Oct 16, 2021 | BYU 24, Baylor 38 Baylor won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Baylor Bears
- Baylor Bears team stats
- Iowa State Cyclones 31, Baylor Bears 42 (Nov 7)
- Baylor Bears 41, UCF Knights 9 (Oct 30)
- Baylor Bears 24, Kansas Jayhawks 25 (Oct 24)
BYU Cougars
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