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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Baylor Bears logo
5-3
Quarterback DJ Lagway
at
BYU Cougars logo
6-2
Quarterback Bear Bachmeier
Saturday, November 14 · 3:30 PM ET
BAYOffense2026 regular season to dateBYU
93rd+0.002
EPA/play
+0.18223rd
117th42.6%
Success %
48.8%40th
35th30.4
PPG
27.061st
BAYDefenseBYU
17th−0.080
EPA/play allowed
−0.00244th
21st42.9%
Success % allowed
45.6%55th
21st18.8
Opp PPG
21.434th
BAYRecent formBYU
W@ Arizona State 55-19Lvs TCU 6-17L@ Kansas 24-25W@ UCF 41-9Wvs Iowa State 42-31
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs Iowa State 24-10Wvs Notre Dame 28-24L@ UCF 31-39Wvs Arizona State 27-20L@ Utah 20-28
6-3
Record
7-2
7-2
ATS
6-3
4-5
Over–under
4-5
BAYHome and roadseason to dateBYU
4-1
Home record
5-0
2-2
Road record
2-2
3-2
Home ATS
4-1
4-0
Road ATS
2-2
2-3
Home O/U
2-3
2-2
Road O/U
2-2
BAYLast 10 gamesBYU
-1+41+17+10+36-11-1+32+11
Game by game
+56+11+18+7+14+4-8+7-8
6-3
Last 9
7-2
+134
Net points
+101
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
BAYRest & travelBYU
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
1,009 mi1,624 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
−1 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
Venue
LaVell Edwards Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Baylor (5-3) visits BYU (6-2) on Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET.

Baylor has the 93rd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 17th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, BYU has the 23rd-ranked offense and the 44th-ranked defense. When Baylor has the ball, a 93rd-ranked offense (+0.002 EPA per play) meets a 44th-ranked defense (−0.002 allowed); when BYU has it, a 23rd-ranked offense (+0.182) meets a 17th-ranked defense (−0.080 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Baylor offense is at 42.6% (117th) and the BYU offense at 48.8% (40th). Baylor scores 30.4 points per game (35th) and allows 18.8 (21st); BYU scores 27.0 (61st) and allows 21.4 (34th).

Baylor is 6-3 and 7-2 against the spread; its last game was a 42-31 win over Iowa State. BYU is 7-2 and 6-3 against the spread; its last game was a 28-20 loss to Utah.

BYU is a 7.5-point favorite at home against Baylor. The spread opened at BYU -6.5. The total is 48.5, down from 49.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Baylor +230, BYU -295) prices Baylor at 29% and BYU at 71%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1
OpenBYU -6.5 (-105)
Baylor +6.5 (-115)
NowBYU -7.5 (-105)
Baylor +7.5 (-115)
Totaldown 1
Open49.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now48.5 (o -110 / u -108)
Moneyline
OpenBaylor +196 32%
BYU -240 68%
NowBaylor +230 29%
BYU -295 71%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

  • Baylor +7.5-108Novig
  • BYU -7.5+102Novig
  • Over 48.5-105theScore Bet
  • Under 48.5+102Novig
  • Baylor+251Novig
  • BYU-257Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Baylor Bears logo
Baylor
QB · DJ Lagway
  • Attempts257
  • Completion %52.9%
  • Passing yards1,773
  • Yards per attempt6.9
  • TD–INT15–4
Leading rusher (RB) · Caden Knighten
  • Rushing yards361198th
  • Season line80 carries, 361 yds, 3 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Gavin Freeman
  • Receiving yards85213th
  • Season line69 catches, 852 yds, 3 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Travion Barnes
  • Tackles63120th
BYU Cougars logo
BYU
QB · Bear Bachmeier
  • Attempts249
  • Completion %62.7%113th
  • Passing yards2,02272nd
  • Yards per attempt8.162nd
  • TD–INT13–8
Leading rusher (QB) · Bear Bachmeier
  • Rushing yards395166th
  • Season line88 carries, 395 yds, 7 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Legend Glasker
  • Receiving yards70331st
  • Season line39 catches, 703 yds, 5 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Cade Uluave
  • Tackles59156th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationBaylorBYU
Early-down success rateBaylor offense vs BYU defense38.7%121st40.6%31st
Early-down success rateBYU offense vs Baylor defense41.1%36th40.8%99th
3rd-down conversion rateBaylor offense vs BYU defense39.2%78th41.7%74th
3rd-down conversion rateBYU offense vs Baylor defense36.1%33rd49.5%15th
Explosive play rateBaylor offense vs BYU defense8.4%21st5.7%31st
Explosive play rateBYU offense vs Baylor defense6.1%48th6.9%66th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks53.9%35th-highest48.5%87th-highest

On 3rd down Baylor converts 39.2% (78th) against a BYU defense allowing 41.7% (74th).

On 3rd down BYU converts 49.5% (15th) against a Baylor defense allowing 36.1% (33rd).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffBaylorBYU
Head coachJoe Klanderman (interim) (interim)Kalani Sitake
Tenureat this school1st season11th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below2–091–47
Career recordas an FBS head coach2–091–47
Offensive coordinatorJake SpavitalAaron Roderick
Defensive coordinatorJoe KlandermanKelly Poppinga

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Baylor won 1 and BYU 2.

DateScoreLineTotal
Sep 28, 2024BYU 34, Baylor 28
BYU won


Sep 10, 2022Baylor 20, BYU 26
BYU won


Oct 16, 2021BYU 24, Baylor 38
Baylor won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Baylor Bears

BYU Cougars

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