Florida Gators vs Kentucky Wildcats Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026
FLAOffense2026 regular season to dateUK
FLADefenseUKFLARecent formUKFLAHome and roadseason to dateUKFLALast 10 gamesUKRest & travelrest and travel
FLARest & travelUKAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Florida (4-4) visits Kentucky (6-2) on Saturday, November 14 at 6:15 PM ET.
Florida has the 65th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 98th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Kentucky has the 74th-ranked offense and the 64th-ranked defense. When Florida has the ball, a 65th-ranked offense (+0.066 EPA per play) meets a 64th-ranked defense (+0.050 allowed); when Kentucky has it, a 74th-ranked offense (+0.048) meets a 98th-ranked defense (+0.131 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Florida offense is at 46.9% (65th) and the Kentucky offense at 50.6% (22nd). Florida scores 30.0 points per game (39th) and allows 30.6 (101st); Kentucky scores 28.0 (53rd) and allows 27.4 (77th).
Florida is 5-4 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 23-7 loss to Oklahoma. Kentucky is 7-2 and 7-2 against the spread; its last game was a 34-6 loss to Tennessee.
Kentucky is a 3.5-point favorite at home against Florida. The spread opened at Kentucky -2.5. The total is 52.5, down from 54.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Florida +145, Kentucky -175) prices Florida at 39% and Kentucky at 61%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Florida +2.5 (-110)
Florida +3.5 (-115)
Kentucky -129 54%
Kentucky -175 61%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 12
- Florida +3.5-112BetMGM
- Kentucky -3.5+111Novig
- Over 52.5-106Novig
- Under 52.5+102Novig
- Florida+150Novig
- Kentucky-156Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts93
- Completion %64.5%
- Passing yards627
- Yards per attempt6.7
- TD–INT4–4
- Rushing yards83617th
- Season line160 carries, 836 yds, 14 TD
- Receiving yards465129th
- Season line35 catches, 465 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles7060th
- Attempts266
- Completion %69.9%15th
- Passing yards1,97983rd
- Yards per attempt7.4114th
- TD–INT14–2
- Rushing yards54180th
- Season line99 carries, 541 yds, 8 TD
- Receiving yards57663rd
- Season line45 catches, 576 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles7832nd
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Florida | Kentucky |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateFlorida offense vs Kentucky defense | 41.9%84th | 44.2%93rd |
| Early-down success rateKentucky offense vs Florida defense | 43.6%84th | 47.3%17th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateFlorida offense vs Kentucky defense | 43.5%38th | 49.1%128th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateKentucky offense vs Florida defense | 49.5%131st | 36.5%101st |
| Explosive play rateFlorida offense vs Kentucky defense | 6.2%92nd | 6.3%56th |
| Explosive play rateKentucky offense vs Florida defense | 5.5%26th | 5.8%106th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 45.1%114th-highest | 51.5%63rd-highest |
On 3rd down Florida converts 43.5% (38th) against a Kentucky defense allowing 49.1% (128th).
On 3rd down Kentucky converts 36.5% (101st) against a Florida defense allowing 49.5% (131st).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Florida | Kentucky |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Jon Sumrall | Will Stein |
| Tenureat this school | 1st season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 5–4 | 7–2 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 48–16 | 7–2 |
| Offensive coordinator | Buster Faulkner | Joe Sloan |
| Defensive coordinator | Brad White | Jay Bateman |
Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Florida won 1 and Kentucky 4.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Florida 7, Kentucky 38 Kentucky won | ||
| Oct 19, 2024 | Kentucky 20, Florida 48 Florida won | ||
| Sep 30, 2023 | Florida 14, Kentucky 33 Kentucky won | ||
| Sep 10, 2022 | Kentucky 26, Florida 16 Kentucky won | ||
| Oct 2, 2021 | Florida 13, Kentucky 20 Kentucky won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Florida Gators
- Florida Gators team stats
- Oklahoma Sooners 23, Florida Gators 7 (Nov 7)
- Florida Gators 8, Georgia Bulldogs 27 (Oct 31)
- Florida Gators 27, Texas Longhorns 24 (Oct 17)
Kentucky Wildcats
More NCAAF games on November 14, 2026
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- Northwestern Wildcats at Ohio State Buckeyes (Nov 14)
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- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Clemson Tigers (Nov 14)
- Nebraska Cornhuskers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Nov 14)
- Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores (Nov 14)
- East Carolina Pirates at Charlotte 49ers (Nov 14)
- Arkansas State Red Wolves at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Nov 14)
- UAB Blazers at Temple Owls (Nov 14)
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