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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Arkansas State Red Wolves logo
3-5
Quarterback Trey Owens
at
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers logo
2-6
Quarterback Deuce Bailey
Saturday, November 14 · 1:00 PM ET
ARSTOffense2026 regular season to dateCCU
41st+0.144
EPA/play
−0.01299th
37th49.2%
Success %
43.0%115th
77th24.4
PPG
22.194th
ARSTDefenseCCU
131st+0.245
EPA/play allowed
+0.07977th
131st51.9%
Success % allowed
48.1%92nd
89th28.8
Opp PPG
26.973rd
ARSTRecent formCCU
L@ Louisiana 20-23Lvs South Alabama 49-56W@ Southern Miss 23-13Wvs Georgia State 38-32Lvs UL Monroe 17-19
Resultsoldest to newest
Lvs Georgia Southern 24-31W@ Marshall 27-21Lvs App State 32-35W@ Georgia State 31-20Lvs Old Dominion 8-21
4-5
Record
3-6
4-5
ATS
4-5
4-5
Over–under
4-5
ARSTHome and roadseason to dateCCU
3-2
Home record
1-4
1-3
Road record
2-2
2-3
Home ATS
1-4
2-2
Road ATS
3-1
3-2
Home O/U
3-2
1-3
Road O/U
1-3
ARSTLast 10 gamesCCU
-18+45-24+3-3-7+10+6-2
Game by game
-7+38-8-17-7+6-3+11-13
4-5
Last 9
3-6
+10
Net points
+0
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
ARSTRest & travelCCU
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
676 mi1,087 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
+1 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
Venue
Brooks Stadium (SC)
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Arkansas State (3-5) visits Coastal Carolina (2-6) on Saturday, November 14 at 1:00 PM ET.

Arkansas State has the 41st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 131st-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina has the 99th-ranked offense and the 77th-ranked defense. When Arkansas State has the ball, a 41st-ranked offense (+0.144 EPA per play) meets a 77th-ranked defense (+0.079 allowed); when Coastal Carolina has it, a 99th-ranked offense (−0.012) meets a 131st-ranked defense (+0.245 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Arkansas State offense is at 49.2% (37th) and the Coastal Carolina offense at 43.0% (115th). Arkansas State scores 24.4 points per game (77th) and allows 28.8 (89th); Coastal Carolina scores 22.1 (94th) and allows 26.9 (73rd).

Arkansas State is 4-5 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 19-17 loss to UL Monroe. Coastal Carolina is 3-6 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 21-8 loss to Old Dominion.

Coastal Carolina is a 1.5-point favorite at home against Arkansas State. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 51.5, up from 50.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Arkansas State -102, Coastal Carolina -120) prices Arkansas State at 48% and Coastal Carolina at 52%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadno move
OpenCoastal Carolina -1.5 (-110)
Arkansas State +1.5 (-110)
NowCoastal Carolina -1.5 (-106)
Arkansas State +1.5 (-112)
Totalup 1
Open50.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now51.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenArkansas State -101 48%
Coastal Carolina -119 52%
NowArkansas State -102 48%
Coastal Carolina -120 52%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

  • Arkansas State +1.5-108Novig
  • Coastal Carolina -1.5+102Novig
  • Over 51.5-105Caesars
  • Under 51.5-102Novig
  • Arkansas State+104Novig
  • Coastal Carolina-108ProphetX

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Arkansas State Red Wolves logo
Arkansas State
QB · Trey Owens
  • Attempts262
  • Completion %66.8%44th
  • Passing yards2,13356th
  • Yards per attempt8.159th
  • TD–INT12–8
Leading rusher (RB) · Solomon Baggett
  • Rushing yards344210th
  • Season line76 carries, 344 yds, 2 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Jaylen Bonelli
  • Receiving yards51891st
  • Season line34 catches, 518 yds, 3 TD
Leading tackler (S) · Joe Drew
  • Tackles8321st
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers logo
Coastal Carolina
QB · Deuce Bailey
  • Attempts269
  • Completion %55.0%223rd
  • Passing yards2,16849th
  • Yards per attempt8.168th
  • TD–INT19–9
Leading rusher (RB) · Dominic Lee-Knicely
  • Rushing yards498108th
  • Season line102 carries, 498 yds, 3 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Clayton Coppock Jr.
  • Receiving yards408180th
  • Season line24 catches, 408 yds, 5 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Marcellius Pulliam
  • Tackles964th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationArkansas StateCoastal Carolina
Early-down success rateArkansas State offense vs Coastal Carolina defense45.8%31st42.7%61st
Early-down success rateCoastal Carolina offense vs Arkansas State defense46.1%117th40.2%104th
3rd-down conversion rateArkansas State offense vs Coastal Carolina defense42.3%53rd45.9%116th
3rd-down conversion rateCoastal Carolina offense vs Arkansas State defense46.9%120th32.6%121st
Explosive play rateArkansas State offense vs Coastal Carolina defense8.8%13th6.7%68th
Explosive play rateCoastal Carolina offense vs Arkansas State defense8.0%105th7.4%49th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks53.1%42nd-highest52.6%48th-highest

On 3rd down Arkansas State converts 42.3% (53rd) against a Coastal Carolina defense allowing 45.9% (116th).

On 3rd down Coastal Carolina converts 32.6% (121st) against a Arkansas State defense allowing 46.9% (120th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffArkansas StateCoastal Carolina
Head coachButch JonesRyan Beard
Tenureat this school6th season1st season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below30–423–6
Career recordas an FBS head coach114–9610–11
Offensive coordinatorGarrett AltmanNick Petrino
Defensive coordinatorGriffin McCarleyLD Scott

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Arkansas State won 0 and Coastal Carolina 2.

DateScoreLineTotal
Oct 21, 2023Coastal Carolina 27, Arkansas State 17
Coastal Carolina won


Oct 7, 2021Coastal Carolina 52, Arkansas State 20
Coastal Carolina won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

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