Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Arkansas State (3-5) visits Coastal Carolina (2-6) on Saturday, November 14 at 1:00 PM ET.
Arkansas State has the 41st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 131st-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina has the 99th-ranked offense and the 77th-ranked defense. When Arkansas State has the ball, a 41st-ranked offense (+0.144 EPA per play) meets a 77th-ranked defense (+0.079 allowed); when Coastal Carolina has it, a 99th-ranked offense (−0.012) meets a 131st-ranked defense (+0.245 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Arkansas State offense is at 49.2% (37th) and the Coastal Carolina offense at 43.0% (115th). Arkansas State scores 24.4 points per game (77th) and allows 28.8 (89th); Coastal Carolina scores 22.1 (94th) and allows 26.9 (73rd).
Arkansas State is 4-5 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 19-17 loss to UL Monroe. Coastal Carolina is 3-6 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 21-8 loss to Old Dominion.
Coastal Carolina is a 1.5-point favorite at home against Arkansas State. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 51.5, up from 50.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Arkansas State -102, Coastal Carolina -120) prices Arkansas State at 48% and Coastal Carolina at 52%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Arkansas State +1.5 (-110)
Arkansas State +1.5 (-112)
Coastal Carolina -119 52%
Coastal Carolina -120 52%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 12
- Arkansas State +1.5-108Novig
- Coastal Carolina -1.5+102Novig
- Over 51.5-105Caesars
- Under 51.5-102Novig
- Arkansas State+104Novig
- Coastal Carolina-108ProphetX
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts262
- Completion %66.8%44th
- Passing yards2,13356th
- Yards per attempt8.159th
- TD–INT12–8
- Rushing yards344210th
- Season line76 carries, 344 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards51891st
- Season line34 catches, 518 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles8321st
- Attempts269
- Completion %55.0%223rd
- Passing yards2,16849th
- Yards per attempt8.168th
- TD–INT19–9
- Rushing yards498108th
- Season line102 carries, 498 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards408180th
- Season line24 catches, 408 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles964th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Arkansas State | Coastal Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateArkansas State offense vs Coastal Carolina defense | 45.8%31st | 42.7%61st |
| Early-down success rateCoastal Carolina offense vs Arkansas State defense | 46.1%117th | 40.2%104th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateArkansas State offense vs Coastal Carolina defense | 42.3%53rd | 45.9%116th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateCoastal Carolina offense vs Arkansas State defense | 46.9%120th | 32.6%121st |
| Explosive play rateArkansas State offense vs Coastal Carolina defense | 8.8%13th | 6.7%68th |
| Explosive play rateCoastal Carolina offense vs Arkansas State defense | 8.0%105th | 7.4%49th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 53.1%42nd-highest | 52.6%48th-highest |
On 3rd down Arkansas State converts 42.3% (53rd) against a Coastal Carolina defense allowing 45.9% (116th).
On 3rd down Coastal Carolina converts 32.6% (121st) against a Arkansas State defense allowing 46.9% (120th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Arkansas State | Coastal Carolina |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Butch Jones | Ryan Beard |
| Tenureat this school | 6th season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 30–42 | 3–6 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 114–96 | 10–11 |
| Offensive coordinator | Garrett Altman | Nick Petrino |
| Defensive coordinator | Griffin McCarley | LD Scott |
Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Arkansas State won 0 and Coastal Carolina 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | Coastal Carolina 27, Arkansas State 17 Coastal Carolina won | ||
| Oct 7, 2021 | Coastal Carolina 52, Arkansas State 20 Coastal Carolina won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Arkansas State Red Wolves
- Arkansas State Red Wolves team stats
- UL Monroe Warhawks 19, Arkansas State Red Wolves 17 (Nov 7)
- Georgia State Panthers 32, Arkansas State Red Wolves 38 (Oct 24)
- Arkansas State Red Wolves 23, Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles 13 (Oct 17)
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
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