Home › Game Previews › NCAAF › November 2026 › Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks

NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Michigan Wolverines vs Oregon Ducks Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Michigan Wolverines

5-4

Quarterback Tommy Carr

Oregon Ducks

5-3

Quarterback Dylan Raiola

Saturday, November 14 · 3:30 PM ET

MICHOffense2026 regular season to dateORE

97th−0.007

EPA/play

+0.03579th

61st47.1%

Success %

43.1%113th

117th19.6

PPG

27.955th

MICHDefenseORE

7th−0.134

EPA/play allowed

−0.02340th

10th41.4%

Success % allowed

41.6%13th

12th16.2

Opp PPG

24.959th

MICHRecent formORE

L@ Minnesota 14-20Wvs Penn State 21-18Lvs Indiana 6-13W@ Rutgers 28-21Lvs Michigan State 6-15

Resultsoldest to newest

Lvs UCLA 15-17Wvs Nebraska 17-14L@ Illinois 10-21Wvs Northwestern 34-26W@ Ohio State 41-28

5-4

Record

6-3

3-6

ATS

—

2-7

Over–under

—

MICHHome and roadseason to dateORE

4-3

Home record

4-1

1-1

Road record

2-2

3-4

Home ATS

—

0-2

Road ATS

—

1-6

Home O/U

—

1-1

Road O/U

—

MICHLast 10 gamesORE

Game by game

5-4

Last 9

6-3

+30

Net points

+108

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

MICHRest & travelORE

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

1,967 mi3,165 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

−3 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

Venue

Autzen Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Michigan (5-4) visits Oregon (5-3) on Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET.

Michigan has the 97th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 7th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Oregon has the 79th-ranked offense and the 40th-ranked defense. When Michigan has the ball, a 97th-ranked offense (−0.007 EPA per play) meets a 40th-ranked defense (−0.023 allowed); when Oregon has it, a 79th-ranked offense (+0.035) meets a 7th-ranked defense (−0.134 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Michigan offense is at 47.1% (61st) and the Oregon offense at 43.1% (113th). Michigan scores 19.6 points per game (117th) and allows 16.2 (12th); Oregon scores 27.9 (55th) and allows 24.9 (59th).

Michigan is 5-4 and 3-6 against the spread; its last game was a 15-6 loss to Michigan State. Oregon is 6-3; its last game was a 41-28 win over Ohio State.

Oregon is a 11-point favorite at home against Michigan. The spread opened at Oregon -8.5. The total is 38.5, down from 44.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Michigan +340, Oregon -475) prices Michigan at 22% and Oregon at 78%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 2.5

OpenOregon -8.5 (-110)
Michigan +8.5 (-110)

NowOregon -11 (-110)
Michigan +11 (-110)

Totaldown 6

Open44.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now38.5 (o -106 / u -115)

Moneyline

OpenMichigan +287 25%
Oregon -367 75%

NowMichigan +340 22%
Oregon -475 78%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

Michigan +11-108BetMGM
Oregon -11-110BetMGM
Over 38.5+102Novig
Under 38.5-104Novig
Michigan+376Novig
Oregon-388Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

Unlock every game with Analytics — $39.99/mo See today’s free game →

Matchup

Players to watch

Michigan

QB · Tommy Carr

Attempts81
Completion %66.7%
Passing yards570
Yards per attempt7.0
TD–INT2–3

Leading rusher (RB) · Savion Hiter

Rushing yards331223rd
Season line93 carries, 331 yds, 3 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · JJ Buchanan

Receiving yards64645th
Season line40 catches, 646 yds, 5 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Troy Bowles

Tackles7251st

Oregon

QB · Dylan Raiola

Attempts185
Completion %65.4%66th
Passing yards1,354182nd
Yards per attempt7.3127th
TD–INT11–2

Leading rusher (RB) · Dierre Hill Jr.

Rushing yards474118th
Season line96 carries, 474 yds, 5 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Dakorien Moore

Receiving yards60158th
Season line48 catches, 601 yds, 7 TD

Leading tackler (DB) · Koi Perich

Tackles58168th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Michigan	Oregon
Early-down success rateMichigan offense vs Oregon defense	42.6%73rd	40.3%28th
Early-down success rateOregon offense vs Michigan defense	37.7%9th	39.9%109th
3rd-down conversion rateMichigan offense vs Oregon defense	42.5%50th	35.5%28th
3rd-down conversion rateOregon offense vs Michigan defense	36.7%40th	34.5%113th
Explosive play rateMichigan offense vs Oregon defense	4.4%133rd	7.5%91st
Explosive play rateOregon offense vs Michigan defense	5.2%20th	7.7%35th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	44.9%115th-highest	56.0%20th-highest

On 3rd down Michigan converts 42.5% (50th) against a Oregon defense allowing 35.5% (28th).

On 3rd down Oregon converts 34.5% (113th) against a Michigan defense allowing 36.7% (40th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Michigan	Oregon
Head coach	Kyle Whittingham	Dan Lanning
Tenureat this school	1st season	5th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	5–4	54–11
Career recordas an FBS head coach	182–92	54–11
Offensive coordinator	Jim Harding	Drew Mehringer
Defensive coordinator	Jay Hill	Chris Hampton

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Michigan won 0 and Oregon 1.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Nov 2, 2024	Oregon 38, Michigan 17 Oregon won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams