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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles logo
2-6
Quarterback John White
at
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs logo
6-2
Quarterback Blake Baker
Saturday, November 14 · 5:00 PM ET
USMOffense2026 regular season to dateLT
69th+0.058
EPA/play
+0.03778th
89th45.0%
Success %
47.8%49th
82nd23.6
PPG
27.856th
USMDefenseLT
115th+0.171
EPA/play allowed
−0.03436th
82nd47.6%
Success % allowed
44.6%39th
130th37.4
Opp PPG
22.238th
USMRecent formLT
L@ Troy 34-55Lvs Arkansas State 13-23Wvs Louisiana 35-31W@ UL Monroe 35-21Lvs James Madison 23-54
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs Louisiana 32-31W@ UL Monroe 24-0Wvs Old Dominion 26-0W@ South Alabama 35-20W@ Troy 41-17
3-6
Record
7-2
4-5
ATS
8-1
6-3
Over–under
6-3
USMHome and roadseason to dateLT
2-3
Home record
4-0
1-3
Road record
3-2
2-3
Home ATS
3-1
2-2
Road ATS
5-0
4-1
Home O/U
3-1
2-2
Road O/U
3-2
USMLast 10 gamesLT
+46-35-28-3-21-10+4+14-31
Game by game
+74-31-17+2+1+24+26+15+24
3-6
Last 9
7-2
-64
Net points
+118
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
USMRest & travelLT
9 days
Days of rest
7 days
212 mi341 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
Venue
Joe Aillet Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Southern Miss (2-6) visits Louisiana Tech (6-2) on Saturday, November 14 at 5:00 PM ET.

Southern Miss has the 69th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 115th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Louisiana Tech has the 78th-ranked offense and the 36th-ranked defense. When Southern Miss has the ball, a 69th-ranked offense (+0.058 EPA per play) meets a 36th-ranked defense (−0.034 allowed); when Louisiana Tech has it, a 78th-ranked offense (+0.037) meets a 115th-ranked defense (+0.171 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Southern Miss offense is at 45.0% (89th) and the Louisiana Tech offense at 47.8% (49th). Southern Miss scores 23.6 points per game (82nd) and allows 37.4 (130th); Louisiana Tech scores 27.8 (56th) and allows 22.2 (38th).

Southern Miss is 3-6 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 54-23 loss to James Madison. Louisiana Tech is 7-2 and 8-1 against the spread; its last game was a 41-17 win over Troy.

Louisiana Tech is a 17.5-point favorite at home against Southern Miss. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 56.5, up from 54.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Southern Miss +625, Louisiana Tech -950) prices Southern Miss at 13% and Louisiana Tech at 87%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadno move
OpenLouisiana Tech -17.5 (-110)
Southern Miss +17.5 (-110)
NowLouisiana Tech -17.5 (-110)
Southern Miss +17.5 (-110)
Totalup 2
Open54.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now56.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenSouthern Miss +744 11%
Louisiana Tech -1187 89%
NowSouthern Miss +625 13%
Louisiana Tech -950 87%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

  • Southern Miss +17.5-102Novig
  • Louisiana Tech -17.5-102Novig
  • Over 56.5+100Novig
  • Under 56.5-104Novig
  • Southern Miss+690ProphetX
  • Louisiana Tech-770Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles logo
Southern Miss
QB · John White
  • Attempts34
  • Completion %64.7%
  • Passing yards266
  • Yards per attempt7.8
  • TD–INT1–0
Leading rusher (RB) · Steven Robinson
  • Rushing yards78225th
  • Season line157 carries, 782 yds, 10 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Mario Sanders
  • Receiving yards69833rd
  • Season line50 catches, 698 yds, 6 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Mathis Haygood
  • Tackles8321st
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs logo
Louisiana Tech
QB · Blake Baker
  • Attempts168
  • Completion %72.6%6th
  • Passing yards1,504159th
  • Yards per attempt8.926th
  • TD–INT14–1
Leading rusher (RB) · Andrew Burnette
  • Rushing yards385176th
  • Season line97 carries, 385 yds, 3 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Jalen Mickens
  • Receiving yards62850th
  • Season line48 catches, 628 yds, 4 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Alonzo Jackson Jr.
  • Tackles6874th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationSouthern MissLouisiana Tech
Early-down success rateSouthern Miss offense vs Louisiana Tech defense44.5%48th41.5%42nd
Early-down success rateLouisiana Tech offense vs Southern Miss defense43.0%75th45.7%32nd
3rd-down conversion rateSouthern Miss offense vs Louisiana Tech defense24.7%137th42.4%84th
3rd-down conversion rateLouisiana Tech offense vs Southern Miss defense40.7%68th41.7%58th
Explosive play rateSouthern Miss offense vs Louisiana Tech defense7.9%31st8.6%122nd
Explosive play rateLouisiana Tech offense vs Southern Miss defense6.5%62nd7.2%56th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks55.7%21st-highest48.7%86th-highest

On 3rd down Southern Miss converts 24.7% (137th) against a Louisiana Tech defense allowing 42.4% (84th).

On 3rd down Louisiana Tech converts 41.7% (58th) against a Southern Miss defense allowing 40.7% (68th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffSouthern MissLouisiana Tech
Head coachBlake AndersonSonny Cumbie
Tenureat this school2nd season5th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below3–726–33
Career recordas an FBS head coach77–6128–36
Offensive coordinatorKyle CefaloNathan Young
Defensive coordinatorJoe BoldenLuke Olson

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Southern Miss won 1 and Louisiana Tech 1.

DateScoreLineTotal
Sep 20, 2025Southern Miss 20, Louisiana Tech 30
Louisiana Tech won


Nov 19, 2021Southern Miss 35, Louisiana Tech 19
Southern Miss won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

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