Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Southern Miss (2-6) visits Louisiana Tech (6-2) on Saturday, November 14 at 5:00 PM ET.
Southern Miss has the 69th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 115th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Louisiana Tech has the 78th-ranked offense and the 36th-ranked defense. When Southern Miss has the ball, a 69th-ranked offense (+0.058 EPA per play) meets a 36th-ranked defense (−0.034 allowed); when Louisiana Tech has it, a 78th-ranked offense (+0.037) meets a 115th-ranked defense (+0.171 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Southern Miss offense is at 45.0% (89th) and the Louisiana Tech offense at 47.8% (49th). Southern Miss scores 23.6 points per game (82nd) and allows 37.4 (130th); Louisiana Tech scores 27.8 (56th) and allows 22.2 (38th).
Southern Miss is 3-6 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 54-23 loss to James Madison. Louisiana Tech is 7-2 and 8-1 against the spread; its last game was a 41-17 win over Troy.
Louisiana Tech is a 17.5-point favorite at home against Southern Miss. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 56.5, up from 54.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Southern Miss +625, Louisiana Tech -950) prices Southern Miss at 13% and Louisiana Tech at 87%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Southern Miss +17.5 (-110)
Southern Miss +17.5 (-110)
Louisiana Tech -1187 89%
Louisiana Tech -950 87%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 12
- Southern Miss +17.5-102Novig
- Louisiana Tech -17.5-102Novig
- Over 56.5+100Novig
- Under 56.5-104Novig
- Southern Miss+690ProphetX
- Louisiana Tech-770Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts34
- Completion %64.7%
- Passing yards266
- Yards per attempt7.8
- TD–INT1–0
- Rushing yards78225th
- Season line157 carries, 782 yds, 10 TD
- Receiving yards69833rd
- Season line50 catches, 698 yds, 6 TD
- Tackles8321st
- Attempts168
- Completion %72.6%6th
- Passing yards1,504159th
- Yards per attempt8.926th
- TD–INT14–1
- Rushing yards385176th
- Season line97 carries, 385 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards62850th
- Season line48 catches, 628 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles6874th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Southern Miss | Louisiana Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateSouthern Miss offense vs Louisiana Tech defense | 44.5%48th | 41.5%42nd |
| Early-down success rateLouisiana Tech offense vs Southern Miss defense | 43.0%75th | 45.7%32nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSouthern Miss offense vs Louisiana Tech defense | 24.7%137th | 42.4%84th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateLouisiana Tech offense vs Southern Miss defense | 40.7%68th | 41.7%58th |
| Explosive play rateSouthern Miss offense vs Louisiana Tech defense | 7.9%31st | 8.6%122nd |
| Explosive play rateLouisiana Tech offense vs Southern Miss defense | 6.5%62nd | 7.2%56th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 55.7%21st-highest | 48.7%86th-highest |
On 3rd down Southern Miss converts 24.7% (137th) against a Louisiana Tech defense allowing 42.4% (84th).
On 3rd down Louisiana Tech converts 41.7% (58th) against a Southern Miss defense allowing 40.7% (68th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Southern Miss | Louisiana Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Blake Anderson | Sonny Cumbie |
| Tenureat this school | 2nd season | 5th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 3–7 | 26–33 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 77–61 | 28–36 |
| Offensive coordinator | Kyle Cefalo | Nathan Young |
| Defensive coordinator | Joe Bolden | Luke Olson |
Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Southern Miss won 1 and Louisiana Tech 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Southern Miss 20, Louisiana Tech 30 Louisiana Tech won | ||
| Nov 19, 2021 | Southern Miss 35, Louisiana Tech 19 Southern Miss won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
- James Madison Dukes 54, Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles 23 (Nov 5)
- Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles 35, UL Monroe Warhawks 21 (Oct 31)
- Louisiana Ragin Cajuns 31, Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles 35 (Oct 24)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
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