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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Ole Miss Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Ole Miss Rebels logo
6-3
Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss
at
Oklahoma Sooners logo
5-4
Quarterback John Mateer
Saturday, November 14 · 4:15 PM ET
MISSOffense2026 regular season to dateOU
20th+0.188
EPA/play
−0.119130th
24th50.4%
Success %
40.8%129th
23rd33.8
PPG
22.195th
MISSDefenseOU
88th+0.098
EPA/play allowed
−0.1366th
60th46.2%
Success % allowed
44.3%36th
70th26.0
Opp PPG
19.222nd
MISSRecent formOU
W@ Vanderbilt 52-17Wvs Missouri 31-3L@ Texas 27-34Wvs Auburn 45-15Lvs Georgia 7-42
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs Texas 27-24Lvs Kentucky 13-21W@ Mississippi State 23-15Lvs South Carolina 25-42W@ Florida 23-7
6-3
Record
5-4
—
ATS
4-5
—
Over–under
3-6
MISSHome and roadseason to dateOU
5-1
Home record
3-2
1-2
Road record
2-2
—
Home ATS
2-3
—
Road ATS
2-2
—
Home O/U
2-3
—
Road O/U
1-3
MISSLast 10 gamesOU
+3+32+8-24+35+28-7+30-35
Game by game
+51-7+8-28+3-8+8-17+16
6-3
Last 9
5-4
+70
Net points
+26
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
MISSRest & travelOU
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
452 mi728 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Ole Miss (6-3) visits Oklahoma (5-4) on Saturday, November 14 at 4:15 PM ET.

Ole Miss has the 20th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 88th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Oklahoma has the 130th-ranked offense and the 6th-ranked defense. When Ole Miss has the ball, a 20th-ranked offense (+0.188 EPA per play) meets a 6th-ranked defense (−0.136 allowed); when Oklahoma has it, a 130th-ranked offense (−0.119) meets a 88th-ranked defense (+0.098 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Ole Miss offense is at 50.4% (24th) and the Oklahoma offense at 40.8% (129th). Ole Miss scores 33.8 points per game (23rd) and allows 26.0 (70th); Oklahoma scores 22.1 (95th) and allows 19.2 (22nd).

Ole Miss is 6-3; its last game was a 42-7 loss to Georgia. Oklahoma is 5-4 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 23-7 win over Florida.

Ole Miss is a 1-point road favorite, with Oklahoma getting the points at home. The spread opened at Ole Miss -2.5. The total is 49.5, down from 50.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Ole Miss -110, Oklahoma -110) prices Ole Miss at 50% and Oklahoma at 50%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1.5
OpenOklahoma +2.5 (-110)
Ole Miss -2.5 (-110)
NowOklahoma +1 (-114)
Ole Miss -1 (-105)
Totaldown 1
Open50.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now49.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenOle Miss -131 54%
Oklahoma +110 46%
NowOle Miss -110 50%
Oklahoma -110 50%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

  • Ole Miss -1-105BetMGM
  • Oklahoma +1-112BetMGM
  • Over 49.5+104Novig
  • Under 49.5-108Caesars
  • Ole Miss+100Novig
  • Oklahoma+100ProphetX

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Ole Miss Rebels logo
Ole Miss
QB · Trinidad Chambliss
  • Attempts330
  • Completion %62.7%113th
  • Passing yards2,35934th
  • Yards per attempt7.2144th
  • TD–INT18–9
Leading rusher (RB) · Kewan Lacy
  • Rushing yards388175th
  • Season line78 carries, 388 yds, 5 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Deuce Alexander
  • Receiving yards66941st
  • Season line48 catches, 669 yds, 5 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Keaton Thomas
  • Tackles55208th
Oklahoma Sooners logo
Oklahoma
QB · John Mateer
  • Attempts280
  • Completion %65.4%66th
  • Passing yards2,04267th
  • Yards per attempt7.3132nd
  • TD–INT15–7
Leading rusher (RB) · Lloyd Avant
  • Rushing yards394167th
  • Season line92 carries, 394 yds, 2 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Isaiah Sategna III
  • Receiving yards62552nd
  • Season line49 catches, 625 yds, 4 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Owen Heinecke
  • Tackles7346th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationOle MissOklahoma
Early-down success rateOle Miss offense vs Oklahoma defense45.1%37th41.7%44th
Early-down success rateOklahoma offense vs Ole Miss defense42.3%56th35.3%136th
3rd-down conversion rateOle Miss offense vs Oklahoma defense50.5%12th30.0%5th
3rd-down conversion rateOklahoma offense vs Ole Miss defense44.8%108th42.7%49th
Explosive play rateOle Miss offense vs Oklahoma defense6.2%94th5.1%16th
Explosive play rateOklahoma offense vs Ole Miss defense8.0%109th6.0%101st
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks57.0%16th-highest52.2%54th-highest

On 3rd down Ole Miss converts 50.5% (12th) against a Oklahoma defense allowing 30.0% (5th).

On 3rd down Oklahoma converts 42.7% (49th) against a Ole Miss defense allowing 44.8% (108th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffOle MissOklahoma
Head coachPete GoldingBrent Venables
Tenureat this school2nd season5th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below8–437–24
Career recordas an FBS head coach8–437–24
Offensive coordinatorJohn David BakerBen Arbuckle
Defensive coordinatorBryan BrownTodd Bates

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Ole Miss won 2 and Oklahoma 0.

DateScoreLineTotal
Oct 25, 2025Ole Miss 34, Oklahoma 26
Ole Miss won


Oct 26, 2024Oklahoma 14, Ole Miss 26
Ole Miss won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Ole Miss Rebels

Oklahoma Sooners

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