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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Stanford Cardinal vs Virginia Tech Hokies Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Stanford Cardinal

3-5

Quarterback Davis Warren

Virginia Tech Hokies

5-3

Quarterback Ethan Grunkemeyer

Saturday, November 14 · 7:30 PM ET

STANOffense2026 regular season to dateVT

85th+0.018

EPA/play

+0.10649th

110th43.2%

Success %

49.2%36th

123rd18.6

PPG

29.444th

STANDefenseVT

137th+0.331

EPA/play allowed

+0.04560th

132nd52.1%

Success % allowed

48.3%94th

137th41.1

Opp PPG

26.572nd

STANRecent formVT

L@ Wake Forest 3-57L@ Notre Dame 7-58Wvs Elon 34-7Wvs NC State 31-28L@ Louisville 24-52

Resultsoldest to newest

Lvs Pittsburgh 33-35L@ California 20-25Wvs Georgia Tech 34-24W@ Clemson 20-16L@ SMU 28-51

4-5

Record

6-3

—

ATS

5-4

—

Over–under

6-3

STANHome and roadseason to dateVT

4-1

Home record

3-1

0-4

Road record

3-2

—

Home ATS

3-1

—

Road ATS

2-3

—

Home O/U

4-0

—

Road O/U

2-3

STANLast 10 gamesVT

Game by game

4-5

Last 9

6-3

-153

Net points

+93

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

STANRest & travelVT

14 days

Days of rest

8 days

2,274 mi3,660 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

+3 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

Venue

Lane Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Stanford (3-5) visits Virginia Tech (5-3) on Saturday, November 14 at 7:30 PM ET.

Stanford has the 85th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 137th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Virginia Tech has the 49th-ranked offense and the 60th-ranked defense. When Stanford has the ball, a 85th-ranked offense (+0.018 EPA per play) meets a 60th-ranked defense (+0.045 allowed); when Virginia Tech has it, a 49th-ranked offense (+0.106) meets a 137th-ranked defense (+0.331 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Stanford offense is at 43.2% (110th) and the Virginia Tech offense at 49.2% (36th). Stanford scores 18.6 points per game (123rd) and allows 41.1 (137th); Virginia Tech scores 29.4 (44th) and allows 26.5 (72nd).

Stanford is 4-5; its last game was a 52-24 loss to Louisville. Virginia Tech is 6-3 and 5-4 against the spread; its last game was a 51-28 loss to SMU.

Virginia Tech is a 15.5-point favorite at home against Stanford. The spread opened at Virginia Tech -16.5. The total is 58.5, down from 60.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Stanford +520, Virginia Tech -750) prices Stanford at 15% and Virginia Tech at 85%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1

OpenVirginia Tech -16.5 (-116)
Stanford +16.5 (-103)

NowVirginia Tech -15.5 (-110)
Stanford +15.5 (-110)

Totaldown 2

Open60.5 (o -112 / u -108)

Now58.5 (o -105 / u -115)

Moneyline

OpenStanford +585 14%
Virginia Tech -858 86%

NowStanford +520 15%
Virginia Tech -750 85%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

Stanford +15.5-104Novig
Virginia Tech -15.5-102Novig
Over 58.5-102DraftKings
Under 58.5-110FanDuel
Stanford+590Novig
Virginia Tech-641Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Stanford

QB · Davis Warren

Attempts308
Completion %60.4%153rd
Passing yards2,20343rd
Yards per attempt7.2144th
TD–INT14–3

Leading rusher (RB) · Micah Ford

Rushing yards75130th
Season line156 carries, 751 yds, 8 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Caden High

Receiving yards449138th
Season line33 catches, 449 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (S) · Jay Green

Tackles57181st

Virginia Tech

QB · Ethan Grunkemeyer

Attempts300
Completion %71.7%7th
Passing yards2,43129th
Yards per attempt8.164th
TD–INT18–3

Leading rusher (RB) · Jeffrey Overton Jr.

Rushing yards76226th
Season line126 carries, 762 yds, 6 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Que'Sean Brown

Receiving yards72226th
Season line60 catches, 722 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Kaleb Spencer

Tackles49292nd

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Stanford	Virginia Tech
Early-down success rateStanford offense vs Virginia Tech defense	40.1%105th	45.7%113th
Early-down success rateVirginia Tech offense vs Stanford defense	46.5%121st	42.8%70th
3rd-down conversion rateStanford offense vs Virginia Tech defense	31.0%128th	37.0%43rd
3rd-down conversion rateVirginia Tech offense vs Stanford defense	52.4%135th	41.9%57th
Explosive play rateStanford offense vs Virginia Tech defense	7.3%50th	7.9%103rd
Explosive play rateVirginia Tech offense vs Stanford defense	8.2%115th	7.4%48th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	55.3%23rd-highest	54.0%34th-highest

On 3rd down Stanford converts 31.0% (128th) against a Virginia Tech defense allowing 37.0% (43rd).

On 3rd down Virginia Tech converts 41.9% (57th) against a Stanford defense allowing 52.4% (135th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Stanford	Virginia Tech
Head coach	Tavita Pritchard	James Franklin
Tenureat this school	1st season	1st season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	4–5	6–3
Career recordas an FBS head coach	4–5	134–63
Offensive coordinator	Terry Heffernan	Ty Howle
Defensive coordinator	Kris Richard	Brent Pry

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 1 time since 2021: Stanford won 0 and Virginia Tech 1.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Oct 5, 2024	Virginia Tech 31, Stanford 7 Virginia Tech won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams