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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Georgia Southern Eagles vs Georgia State Panthers Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Georgia Southern Eagles

4-4

Quarterback Max Johnson

Georgia State Panthers

4-4

Quarterback Ayden Pereira

Saturday, November 14 · 3:30 PM ET

GASOOffense2026 regular season to dateGAST

70th+0.054

EPA/play

+0.08059th

101st43.8%

Success %

47.6%55th

71st26.0

PPG

31.431st

GASODefenseGAST

35th−0.036

EPA/play allowed

+0.10390th

41st44.6%

Success % allowed

48.5%96th

36th22.1

Opp PPG

28.285th

GASORecent formGAST

W@ Coastal Carolina 31-24Lvs James Madison 24-27W@ Old Dominion 23-15Wvs App State 19-3Wvs Marshall 49-13

Resultsoldest to newest

Wvs Old Dominion 42-10L@ James Madison 22-49L@ Arkansas State 32-38Lvs Coastal Carolina 20-31W@ App State 39-23

5-4

Record

5-4

8-1

ATS

6-3

4-5

Over–under

6-3

GASOHome and roadseason to dateGAST

3-2

Home record

3-1

2-2

Road record

2-3

5-0

Home ATS

3-1

Road ATS

3-2

2-3

Home O/U

2-2

Road O/U

4-1

GASOLast 10 gamesGAST

Game by game

5-4

Last 9

5-4

+62

Net points

+74

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

GASORest & travelGAST

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

176 mi284 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

Venue

Center Parc Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Georgia Southern (4-4) visits Georgia State (4-4) on Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET.

Georgia Southern has the 70th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 35th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Georgia State has the 59th-ranked offense and the 90th-ranked defense. When Georgia Southern has the ball, a 70th-ranked offense (+0.054 EPA per play) meets a 90th-ranked defense (+0.103 allowed); when Georgia State has it, a 59th-ranked offense (+0.080) meets a 35th-ranked defense (−0.036 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Georgia Southern offense is at 43.8% (101st) and the Georgia State offense at 47.6% (55th). Georgia Southern scores 26.0 points per game (71st) and allows 22.1 (36th); Georgia State scores 31.4 (31st) and allows 28.2 (85th).

Georgia Southern is 5-4 and 8-1 against the spread; its last game was a 49-13 win over Marshall. Georgia State is 5-4 and 6-3 against the spread; its last game was a 39-23 win over App State.

Georgia Southern is a 6-point road favorite, with Georgia State getting the points at home. The spread opened at Georgia Southern -5.5. The total is 56.5, up from 55.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Georgia Southern -225, Georgia State +185) prices Georgia Southern at 66% and Georgia State at 34%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 0.5

OpenGeorgia State +5.5 (-110)
Georgia Southern -5.5 (-110)

NowGeorgia State +6 (-109)
Georgia Southern -6 (-111)

Totalup 1

Open55.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now56.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Moneyline

OpenGeorgia Southern -205 64%
Georgia State +170 36%

NowGeorgia Southern -225 66%
Georgia State +185 34%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

Georgia Southern -6-110BetMGM
Georgia State +6-108DraftKings
Over 56.5-104Novig
Under 56.5-102Novig
Georgia Southern-210Hard Rock
Georgia State+203Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Georgia Southern

QB · Max Johnson

Attempts305
Completion %68.5%25th
Passing yards2,19944th
Yards per attempt7.2139th
TD–INT15–2

Leading rusher (RB) · David Mbadinga

Rushing yards273283rd
Season line50 carries, 273 yds

Leading receiver (WR) · Alex Taylor

Receiving yards52981st
Season line38 catches, 529 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Brandon Tyson

Tackles49292nd

Georgia State

QB · Ayden Pereira

Attempts75
Completion %54.7%
Passing yards504
Yards per attempt6.7
TD–INT7–1

Leading rusher (RB) · Lanear McCrary Jr.

Rushing yards52694th
Season line105 carries, 526 yds, 4 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Rodshaun Dorsey

Receiving yards476121st
Season line29 catches, 476 yds, 9 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Jaydon Hood

Tackles50276th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Georgia Southern	Georgia State
Early-down success rateGeorgia Southern offense vs Georgia State defense	40.9%97th	46.3%120th
Early-down success rateGeorgia State offense vs Georgia Southern defense	41.7%43rd	42.2%77th
3rd-down conversion rateGeorgia Southern offense vs Georgia State defense	40.9%62nd	32.9%14th
3rd-down conversion rateGeorgia State offense vs Georgia Southern defense	33.7%20th	43.4%39th
Explosive play rateGeorgia Southern offense vs Georgia State defense	6.2%95th	9.3%133rd
Explosive play rateGeorgia State offense vs Georgia Southern defense	6.3%58th	7.8%32nd
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	59.7%8th-highest	45.6%108th-highest

On 3rd down Georgia Southern converts 40.9% (62nd) against a Georgia State defense allowing 32.9% (14th).

On 3rd down Georgia State converts 43.4% (39th) against a Georgia Southern defense allowing 33.7% (20th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Georgia Southern	Georgia State
Head coach	Clay Helton	Dell McGee
Tenureat this school	5th season	3rd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	32–29	9–24
Career recordas an FBS head coach	78–53	9–24
Offensive coordinator	Ryan Aplin	Hue Jackson
Defensive coordinator	Mike Mutz	Cam Clark / John Haneline

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Georgia Southern won 3 and Georgia State 2.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Oct 18, 2025	Georgia State 24, Georgia Southern 41 Georgia Southern won
Sep 28, 2024	Georgia Southern 38, Georgia State 21 Georgia Southern won
Oct 26, 2023	Georgia State 27, Georgia Southern 44 Georgia Southern won
Oct 8, 2022	Georgia Southern 33, Georgia State 41 Georgia State won
Oct 30, 2021	Georgia State 21, Georgia Southern 14 Georgia State won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams