Syracuse Orange vs NC State Wolfpack Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026
SYROffense2026 regular season to dateNCSU
SYRDefenseNCSUSYRRecent formNCSUSYRHome and roadseason to dateNCSUSYRLast 10 gamesNCSURest & travelrest and travel
SYRRest & travelNCSUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Syracuse (3-5) visits NC State (3-5) on Saturday, November 14 at 12:00 PM ET.
Syracuse has the 80th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 71st-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, NC State has the 39th-ranked offense and the 99th-ranked defense. When Syracuse has the ball, a 80th-ranked offense (+0.033 EPA per play) meets a 99th-ranked defense (+0.131 allowed); when NC State has it, a 39th-ranked offense (+0.147) meets a 71st-ranked defense (+0.071 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Syracuse offense is at 44.2% (97th) and the NC State offense at 50.3% (25th). Syracuse scores 24.8 points per game (75th) and allows 28.2 (85th); NC State scores 23.4 (84th) and allows 31.0 (103rd).
Syracuse is 4-5 and 5-4 against the spread; its last game was a 18-13 loss to Clemson. NC State is 4-5; its last game was a 41-3 loss to Duke.
Syracuse is a 2.5-point road favorite, with NC State getting the points at home. The spread has not moved since it opened. The total is 53.5, down from 55.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Syracuse -140, NC State +117) prices Syracuse at 56% and NC State at 44%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Syracuse -2.5 (-116)
Syracuse -2.5 (-118)
NC State +113 45%
NC State +117 44%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 12
- Syracuse -2.5-111Novig
- NC State +2.5+104Novig
- Over 53.5-108DraftKings
- Under 53.5+102Novig
- Syracuse-130Novig
- NC State+125Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts160
- Completion %50.6%
- Passing yards970
- Yards per attempt6.1
- TD–INT4–5
- Rushing yards53188th
- Season line100 carries, 531 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving yards9645th
- Season line62 catches, 964 yds, 8 TD
- Tackles62129th
- Attempts268
- Completion %63.8%96th
- Passing yards2,07864th
- Yards per attempt7.889th
- TD–INT13–4
- Rushing yards378181st
- Season line95 carries, 378 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards477120th
- Season line31 catches, 477 yds, 6 TD
- Tackles8416th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Syracuse | NC State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateSyracuse offense vs NC State defense | 39.5%113th | 46.7%123rd |
| Early-down success rateNC State offense vs Syracuse defense | 43.9%89th | 43.2%63rd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSyracuse offense vs NC State defense | 38.8%84th | 39.4%55th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateNC State offense vs Syracuse defense | 38.2%51st | 49.5%14th |
| Explosive play rateSyracuse offense vs NC State defense | 7.4%47th | 8.0%105th |
| Explosive play rateNC State offense vs Syracuse defense | 8.1%110th | 6.2%96th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 51.5%62nd-highest | 51.8%58th-highest |
On 3rd down Syracuse converts 38.8% (84th) against a NC State defense allowing 39.4% (55th).
On 3rd down NC State converts 49.5% (14th) against a Syracuse defense allowing 38.2% (51st).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Syracuse | NC State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Fran Brown | Todd Goebbel (interim) (interim) |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 17–17 | 1–1 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 17–17 | 1–1 |
| Offensive coordinator | Mike Johnson / Jeff Nixon | Kurt Roper |
| Defensive coordinator | Vince Kehres | D. J. Eliot / Charlton Warren |
Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Syracuse won 2 and NC State 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | Syracuse 24, NC State 17 Syracuse won | ||
| Oct 15, 2022 | NC State 9, Syracuse 24 Syracuse won | ||
| Nov 20, 2021 | Syracuse 17, NC State 41 NC State won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Syracuse Orange
- Syracuse Orange team stats
- Clemson Tigers 18, Syracuse Orange 13 (Nov 7)
- SMU Mustangs 27, Syracuse Orange 30 (Oct 31)
- Syracuse Orange 31, North Carolina Tar Heels 30 (Oct 24)
NC State Wolfpack
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