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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

USC Trojans vs Indiana Hoosiers Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

USC Trojans logo
7-2
Quarterback Jayden Maiava
at
Indiana Hoosiers logo
7-1
Quarterback Josh Hoover
Saturday, November 14 · 3:30 PM ET
USCOffense2026 regular season to dateIU
32nd+0.161
EPA/play
+0.21813th
43rd48.4%
Success %
49.5%32nd
27th32.4
PPG
29.642nd
USCDefenseIU
86th+0.094
EPA/play allowed
−0.06124th
85th47.7%
Success % allowed
42.6%19th
54th24.2
Opp PPG
14.06th
USCRecent formIU
Lvs Oregon 27-41Wvs Washington 25-21W@ Penn State 31-23L@ Wisconsin 7-24Wvs Ohio State 30-18
Resultsoldest to newest
W@ Rutgers 47-15W@ Nebraska 20-17Lvs Ohio State 15-19W@ Michigan 13-6Wvs Minnesota 23-16
7-2
Record
8-1
3-6
ATS
1-8
4-5
Over–under
3-6
USCHome and roadseason to dateIU
5-1
Home record
5-1
2-1
Road record
3-0
2-4
Home ATS
0-6
1-2
Road ATS
1-2
3-3
Home O/U
2-4
1-2
Road O/U
1-2
USCLast 10 gamesIU
+16+39+19+7-14+4+8-17+12
Game by game
+36+55+38+6+32+3-4+7+7
7-2
Last 9
8-1
+74
Net points
+180
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
USCRest & travelIU
14 days
Days of rest
14 days
1,788 mi2,878 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
+3 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

USC (7-2) visits Indiana (7-1) on Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET.

USC has the 32nd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 86th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Indiana has the 13th-ranked offense and the 24th-ranked defense. When USC has the ball, a 32nd-ranked offense (+0.161 EPA per play) meets a 24th-ranked defense (−0.061 allowed); when Indiana has it, a 13th-ranked offense (+0.218) meets a 86th-ranked defense (+0.094 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the USC offense is at 48.4% (43rd) and the Indiana offense at 49.5% (32nd). USC scores 32.4 points per game (27th) and allows 24.2 (54th); Indiana scores 29.6 (42nd) and allows 14.0 (6th).

USC is 7-2 and 3-6 against the spread; its last game was a 30-18 win over Ohio State. Indiana is 8-1 and 1-8 against the spread; its last game was a 23-16 win over Minnesota.

Indiana is a 9.5-point favorite at home against USC. The spread opened at Indiana -7. The total is 50.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (USC +285, Indiana -360) prices USC at 25% and Indiana at 75%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 2.5
OpenIndiana -7 (-115)
USC +7 (-105)
NowIndiana -9.5 (-112)
USC +9.5 (-110)
Totalno move
Open50.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now50.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Moneyline
OpenUSC +232 29%
Indiana -290 71%
NowUSC +285 25%
Indiana -360 75%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

  • USC +9.5+108Novig
  • Indiana -9.5-110theScore Bet
  • Over 50.5-106Novig
  • Under 50.5-102Novig
  • USC+317Novig
  • Indiana-326Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

USC Trojans logo
USC
QB · Jayden Maiava
  • Attempts296
  • Completion %66.9%43rd
  • Passing yards2,52521st
  • Yards per attempt8.541st
  • TD–INT20–5
Leading rusher (RB) · King Miller
  • Rushing yards68043rd
  • Season line138 carries, 680 yds, 5 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Trent Mosley
  • Receiving yards51296th
  • Season line32 catches, 512 yds, 6 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Deven Bryant
  • Tackles55208th
Indiana Hoosiers logo
Indiana
QB · Josh Hoover
  • Attempts206
  • Completion %60.2%155th
  • Passing yards1,86098th
  • Yards per attempt9.024th
  • TD–INT19–2
Leading rusher (RB) · Turbo Richard
  • Rushing yards74531st
  • Season line113 carries, 745 yds, 6 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Charlie Becker
  • Receiving yards87511th
  • Season line50 catches, 875 yds, 9 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Isaiah Jones
  • Tackles6788th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationUSCIndiana
Early-down success rateUSC offense vs Indiana defense43.2%61st37.7%8th
Early-down success rateIndiana offense vs USC defense43.6%83rd44.9%42nd
3rd-down conversion rateUSC offense vs Indiana defense49.0%17th37.8%49th
3rd-down conversion rateIndiana offense vs USC defense36.6%38th39.6%72nd
Explosive play rateUSC offense vs Indiana defense7.6%41st5.1%14th
Explosive play rateIndiana offense vs USC defense5.8%34th9.3%6th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks54.3%31st-highest48.4%89th-highest

On 3rd down USC converts 49.0% (17th) against a Indiana defense allowing 37.8% (49th).

On 3rd down Indiana converts 39.6% (72nd) against a USC defense allowing 36.6% (38th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffUSCIndiana
Head coachLincoln RileyCurt Cignetti
Tenureat this school5th season3rd season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below43–1935–3
Career recordas an FBS head coach98–2954–7
Offensive coordinatorLuke HuardMike Shanahan
Defensive coordinatorGary PattersonBryant Haines

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

USC Trojans

Indiana Hoosiers

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