Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026
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About these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Texas Tech (7-1) visits Oklahoma State (5-3) on Saturday, November 14 at 9:30 PM ET.
Texas Tech has the 51st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 47th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Oklahoma State has the 15th-ranked offense and the 73rd-ranked defense. When Texas Tech has the ball, a 51st-ranked offense (+0.098 EPA per play) meets a 73rd-ranked defense (+0.073 allowed); when Oklahoma State has it, a 15th-ranked offense (+0.213) meets a 47th-ranked defense (+0.009 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Texas Tech offense is at 47.0% (63rd) and the Oklahoma State offense at 52.9% (11th). Texas Tech scores 38.1 points per game (9th) and allows 25.9 (69th); Oklahoma State scores 42.0 (2nd) and allows 30.6 (101st).
Texas Tech is 8-1 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 53-48 win over West Virginia. Oklahoma State is 6-3; its last game was a 66-28 win over Kansas State.
Oklahoma State is a 3.5-point favorite at home against Texas Tech. The spread opened at Oklahoma State -2.5. The total is 72.5, up from 69.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Texas Tech +138, Oklahoma State -170) prices Texas Tech at 40% and Oklahoma State at 60%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Texas Tech +2.5 (-110)
Texas Tech +3.5 (-115)
Oklahoma State -128 54%
Oklahoma State -170 60%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 12
- Texas Tech +3.5-103ProphetX
- Oklahoma State -3.5+104Novig
- Over 72.5-105theScore Bet
- Under 72.5+104Novig
- Texas Tech+150Novig
- Oklahoma State-152FanDuel
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts51
- Completion %51.0%
- Passing yards406
- Yards per attempt8.0
- TD–INT5–1
- Rushing yards95411th
- Season line119 carries, 954 yds, 7 TD
- Receiving yards63249th
- Season line40 catches, 632 yds, 4 TD
- Tackles8126th
- Attempts309
- Completion %66.7%46th
- Passing yards2,9624th
- Yards per attempt9.612th
- TD–INT29–8
- Rushing yards1,0817th
- Season line187 carries, 1081 yds, 7 TD
- Receiving yards79019th
- Season line44 catches, 790 yds, 10 TD
- Tackles8126th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Texas Tech | Oklahoma State |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateTexas Tech offense vs Oklahoma State defense | 43.2%64th | 43.9%88th |
| Early-down success rateOklahoma State offense vs Texas Tech defense | 43.9%87th | 51.5%3rd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTexas Tech offense vs Oklahoma State defense | 40.4%66th | 43.9%100th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateOklahoma State offense vs Texas Tech defense | 40.4%65th | 40.2%69th |
| Explosive play rateTexas Tech offense vs Oklahoma State defense | 8.2%23rd | 8.2%114th |
| Explosive play rateOklahoma State offense vs Texas Tech defense | 6.8%71st | 9.7%4th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 45.9%106th-highest | 53.0%43rd-highest |
On 3rd down Texas Tech converts 40.4% (66th) against a Oklahoma State defense allowing 43.9% (100th).
On 3rd down Oklahoma State converts 40.2% (69th) against a Texas Tech defense allowing 40.4% (65th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Texas Tech | Oklahoma State |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Joey McGuire | Eric Morris |
| Tenureat this school | 5th season | 1st season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 43–19 | 6–3 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 43–19 | 28–19 |
| Offensive coordinator | Mack Leftwich | Sean Brophy |
| Defensive coordinator | Rob Greene / Shiel Wood | Skyler Cassity |
Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Texas Tech won 2 and Oklahoma State 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Oklahoma State 0, Texas Tech 42 Texas Tech won | ||
| Nov 23, 2024 | Texas Tech 56, Oklahoma State 48 Texas Tech won | ||
| Oct 8, 2022 | Texas Tech 31, Oklahoma State 41 Oklahoma State won | ||
| Nov 20, 2021 | Oklahoma State 23, Texas Tech 0 Oklahoma State won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Texas Tech Red Raiders team stats
- West Virginia Mountaineers 48, Texas Tech Red Raiders 53 (Nov 7)
- Arizona Wildcats 26, Texas Tech Red Raiders 34 (Oct 31)
- Texas Tech Red Raiders 24, Cincinnati Bearcats 37 (Oct 24)
Oklahoma State Cowboys
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- Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores (Nov 14)
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- UAB Blazers at Temple Owls (Nov 14)
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