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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Texas Tech Red Raiders logo
7-1
Quarterback Thomas Castellanos
at
Oklahoma State Cowboys logo
5-3
Quarterback Drew Mestemaker
Saturday, November 14 · 9:30 PM ET
TTUOffense2026 regular season to dateOKST
51st+0.098
EPA/play
+0.21315th
63rd47.0%
Success %
52.9%11th
9th38.1
PPG
42.02nd
TTUDefenseOKST
47th+0.009
EPA/play allowed
+0.07373rd
52nd45.5%
Success % allowed
48.2%93rd
69th25.9
Opp PPG
30.6101st
TTURecent formOKST
W@ Colorado 29-7Wvs Arizona State 53-25L@ Cincinnati 24-37Wvs Arizona 34-26Wvs West Virginia 53-48
Resultsoldest to newest
Wvs UCF 42-28L@ Houston 32-35Wvs Colorado 57-24L@ Iowa State 49-51W@ Kansas State 66-28
8-1
Record
6-3
4-5
ATS
—
7-2
Over–under
—
TTUHome and roadseason to dateOKST
6-0
Home record
4-0
2-1
Road record
2-3
3-3
Home ATS
—
1-2
Road ATS
—
5-1
Home O/U
—
2-1
Road O/U
—
TTULast 10 gamesOKST
+23+11+2+35+22+28-13+8+5
Game by game
-14+8+59+17+14-3+33-2+38
8-1
Last 9
6-3
+121
Net points
+150
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
TTURest & travelOKST
7 days
Days of rest
7 days
324 mi521 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
Venue
Boone Pickens Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Texas Tech (7-1) visits Oklahoma State (5-3) on Saturday, November 14 at 9:30 PM ET.

Texas Tech has the 51st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 47th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Oklahoma State has the 15th-ranked offense and the 73rd-ranked defense. When Texas Tech has the ball, a 51st-ranked offense (+0.098 EPA per play) meets a 73rd-ranked defense (+0.073 allowed); when Oklahoma State has it, a 15th-ranked offense (+0.213) meets a 47th-ranked defense (+0.009 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Texas Tech offense is at 47.0% (63rd) and the Oklahoma State offense at 52.9% (11th). Texas Tech scores 38.1 points per game (9th) and allows 25.9 (69th); Oklahoma State scores 42.0 (2nd) and allows 30.6 (101st).

Texas Tech is 8-1 and 4-5 against the spread; its last game was a 53-48 win over West Virginia. Oklahoma State is 6-3; its last game was a 66-28 win over Kansas State.

Oklahoma State is a 3.5-point favorite at home against Texas Tech. The spread opened at Oklahoma State -2.5. The total is 72.5, up from 69.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Texas Tech +138, Oklahoma State -170) prices Texas Tech at 40% and Oklahoma State at 60%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1
OpenOklahoma State -2.5 (-110)
Texas Tech +2.5 (-110)
NowOklahoma State -3.5 (-105)
Texas Tech +3.5 (-115)
Totalup 3
Open69.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now72.5 (o -115 / u -105)
Moneyline
OpenTexas Tech +108 46%
Oklahoma State -128 54%
NowTexas Tech +138 40%
Oklahoma State -170 60%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

  • Texas Tech +3.5-103ProphetX
  • Oklahoma State -3.5+104Novig
  • Over 72.5-105theScore Bet
  • Under 72.5+104Novig
  • Texas Tech+150Novig
  • Oklahoma State-152FanDuel

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Texas Tech Red Raiders logo
Texas Tech
QB · Thomas Castellanos
  • Attempts51
  • Completion %51.0%
  • Passing yards406
  • Yards per attempt8.0
  • TD–INT5–1
Leading rusher (RB) · J'Koby Williams
  • Rushing yards95411th
  • Season line119 carries, 954 yds, 7 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Kenny Johnson
  • Receiving yards63249th
  • Season line40 catches, 632 yds, 4 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Austin Romaine
  • Tackles8126th
Oklahoma State Cowboys logo
Oklahoma State
QB · Drew Mestemaker
  • Attempts309
  • Completion %66.7%46th
  • Passing yards2,9624th
  • Yards per attempt9.612th
  • TD–INT29–8
Leading rusher (RB) · Caleb Hawkins
  • Rushing yards1,0817th
  • Season line187 carries, 1081 yds, 7 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Justin Bowick
  • Receiving yards79019th
  • Season line44 catches, 790 yds, 10 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Ethan Wesloski
  • Tackles8126th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationTexas TechOklahoma State
Early-down success rateTexas Tech offense vs Oklahoma State defense43.2%64th43.9%88th
Early-down success rateOklahoma State offense vs Texas Tech defense43.9%87th51.5%3rd
3rd-down conversion rateTexas Tech offense vs Oklahoma State defense40.4%66th43.9%100th
3rd-down conversion rateOklahoma State offense vs Texas Tech defense40.4%65th40.2%69th
Explosive play rateTexas Tech offense vs Oklahoma State defense8.2%23rd8.2%114th
Explosive play rateOklahoma State offense vs Texas Tech defense6.8%71st9.7%4th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks45.9%106th-highest53.0%43rd-highest

On 3rd down Texas Tech converts 40.4% (66th) against a Oklahoma State defense allowing 43.9% (100th).

On 3rd down Oklahoma State converts 40.2% (69th) against a Texas Tech defense allowing 40.4% (65th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffTexas TechOklahoma State
Head coachJoey McGuireEric Morris
Tenureat this school5th season1st season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below43–196–3
Career recordas an FBS head coach43–1928–19
Offensive coordinatorMack LeftwichSean Brophy
Defensive coordinatorRob Greene / Shiel WoodSkyler Cassity

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Texas Tech won 2 and Oklahoma State 2.

DateScoreLineTotal
Oct 25, 2025Oklahoma State 0, Texas Tech 42
Texas Tech won


Nov 23, 2024Texas Tech 56, Oklahoma State 48
Texas Tech won


Oct 8, 2022Texas Tech 31, Oklahoma State 41
Oklahoma State won


Nov 20, 2021Oklahoma State 23, Texas Tech 0
Oklahoma State won


Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Oklahoma State Cowboys

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