Troy Trojans vs South Alabama Jaguars Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026
TROYOffense2026 regular season to dateUSA
TROYDefenseUSATROYRecent formUSATROYHome and roadseason to dateUSATROYLast 10 gamesUSARest & travelrest and travel
TROYRest & travelUSAAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
Troy (3-5) visits South Alabama (3-5) on Saturday, November 14 at 7:00 PM ET.
Troy has the 103rd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 70th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, South Alabama has the 21st-ranked offense and the 128th-ranked defense. When Troy has the ball, a 103rd-ranked offense (−0.028 EPA per play) meets a 128th-ranked defense (+0.238 allowed); when South Alabama has it, a 21st-ranked offense (+0.186) meets a 70th-ranked defense (+0.069 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Troy offense is at 43.9% (99th) and the South Alabama offense at 48.4% (43rd). Troy scores 20.9 points per game (106th) and allows 27.4 (77th); South Alabama scores 31.6 (29th) and allows 34.5 (121st).
Troy is 4-5 and 3-6 against the spread; its last game was a 41-17 loss to Louisiana Tech. South Alabama is 4-5 and 5-4 against the spread; its last game was a 28-26 loss to Louisiana.
South Alabama is a 3-point favorite at home against Troy. The spread opened at South Alabama -2.5. The total is 55.5, down from 56.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Troy +128, South Alabama -155) prices Troy at 42% and South Alabama at 58%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
Troy +2.5 (-110)
Troy +3 (-110)
South Alabama -141 56%
South Alabama -155 58%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 12
- Troy +3-108DraftKings
- South Alabama -3-106Bally Bet
- Over 55.5-104Novig
- Under 55.5+102Novig
- Troy+145Hard Rock
- South Alabama-144Novig
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts145
- Completion %54.5%
- Passing yards887
- Yards per attempt6.1
- TD–INT8–4
- Rushing yards465123rd
- Season line108 carries, 465 yds, 4 TD
- Receiving yards319283rd
- Season line14 catches, 319 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles7060th
- Attempts48
- Completion %66.7%
- Passing yards463
- Yards per attempt9.6
- TD–INT2–1
- Rushing yards59566th
- Season line116 carries, 595 yds, 6 TD
- Receiving yards55274th
- Season line33 catches, 552 yds, 3 TD
- Tackles46346th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Troy | South Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateTroy offense vs South Alabama defense | 39.9%110th | 48.4%132nd |
| Early-down success rateSouth Alabama offense vs Troy defense | 43.5%81st | 45.2%35th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTroy offense vs South Alabama defense | 34.2%114th | 47.7%124th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSouth Alabama offense vs Troy defense | 35.6%29th | 39.3%75th |
| Explosive play rateTroy offense vs South Alabama defense | 6.0%99th | 9.8%134th |
| Explosive play rateSouth Alabama offense vs Troy defense | 5.8%32nd | 7.5%43rd |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 44.0%120th-highest | 39.3%128th-highest |
On 3rd down Troy converts 34.2% (114th) against a South Alabama defense allowing 47.7% (124th).
On 3rd down South Alabama converts 39.3% (75th) against a Troy defense allowing 35.6% (29th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Troy | South Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Gerad Parker | Major Applewhite |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 3rd season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 16–19 | 15–19 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 16–25 | 30–30 |
| Offensive coordinator | Adam Austin | Major Applewhite |
| Defensive coordinator | Dontae Wright | Todd Orlando / Jason Washington |
Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Troy won 4 and South Alabama 1.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | South Alabama 24, Troy 31 Troy won | ||
| Oct 15, 2024 | Troy 9, South Alabama 25 South Alabama won | ||
| Nov 2, 2023 | South Alabama 10, Troy 28 Troy won | ||
| Oct 20, 2022 | Troy 10, South Alabama 6 Troy won | ||
| Nov 6, 2021 | South Alabama 24, Troy 31 Troy won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
Troy Trojans
- Troy Trojans team stats
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 41, Troy Trojans 17 (Nov 7)
- Troy Trojans 24, James Madison Dukes 21 (Oct 29)
- UL Monroe Warhawks 21, Troy Trojans 14 (Oct 24)
South Alabama Jaguars
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