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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Iowa State Cyclones Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Cincinnati Bearcats

4-4

Quarterback JC French

Iowa State Cyclones

3-5

Quarterback Jaylen Raynor

Saturday, November 14 · 12:00 PM ET

CINOffense2026 regular season to dateISU

31st+0.163

EPA/play

+0.15238th

13th52.4%

Success %

47.6%53rd

44th29.4

PPG

28.152nd

CINDefenseISU

122nd+0.203

EPA/play allowed

+0.233127th

135th53.2%

Success % allowed

47.2%73rd

109th31.9

Opp PPG

31.2106th

CINRecent formISU

L@ Arizona 7-34L@ West Virginia 42-45Wvs Texas Tech 37-24Lvs Utah 25-49L@ Houston 24-31

Resultsoldest to newest

Wvs West Virginia 45-42L@ BYU 10-24L@ Arizona 3-39Wvs Oklahoma State 51-49L@ Baylor 31-42

5-4

Record

4-5

5-4

ATS

3-5-1

6-3

Over–under

5-4

CINHome and roadseason to dateISU

5-1

Home record

4-1

0-3

Road record

0-4

4-2

Home ATS

2-2-1

1-2

Road ATS

1-3

5-1

Home O/U

4-1

1-2

Road O/U

1-3

CINLast 10 gamesISU

Game by game

5-4

Last 9

4-5

+32

Net points

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

CINRest & travelISU

7 days

Days of rest

7 days

518 mi834 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

−1 hclock change vs home

Time-zone change

Home

Venue

Jack Trice Stadium

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Cincinnati (4-4) visits Iowa State (3-5) on Saturday, November 14 at 12:00 PM ET.

Cincinnati has the 31st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 122nd-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Iowa State has the 38th-ranked offense and the 127th-ranked defense. When Cincinnati has the ball, a 31st-ranked offense (+0.163 EPA per play) meets a 127th-ranked defense (+0.233 allowed); when Iowa State has it, a 38th-ranked offense (+0.152) meets a 122nd-ranked defense (+0.203 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Cincinnati offense is at 52.4% (13th) and the Iowa State offense at 47.6% (53rd). Cincinnati scores 29.4 points per game (44th) and allows 31.9 (109th); Iowa State scores 28.1 (52nd) and allows 31.2 (106th).

Cincinnati is 5-4 and 5-4 against the spread; its last game was a 31-24 loss to Houston. Iowa State is 4-5 and 3-5-1 against the spread; its last game was a 42-31 loss to Baylor.

Iowa State is a 3-point favorite at home against Cincinnati. The spread opened at Iowa State -1.5. The total is 59.5, up from 57.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Cincinnati +125, Iowa State -148) prices Cincinnati at 43% and Iowa State at 57%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1.5

OpenIowa State -1.5 (-115)
Cincinnati +1.5 (-107)

NowIowa State -3 (-110)
Cincinnati +3 (-110)

Totalup 2

Open57.5 (o -114 / u -107)

Now59.5 (o -110 / u -109)

Moneyline

OpenCincinnati +102 47%
Iowa State -127 53%

NowCincinnati +125 43%
Iowa State -148 57%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

Cincinnati +3-109Caesars
Iowa State -3-103Bally Bet
Over 59.5-105theScore Bet
Under 59.5+102Novig
Cincinnati+135Novig
Iowa State-138FanDuel

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

Cincinnati

QB · JC French

Attempts243
Completion %66.7%46th
Passing yards1,99082nd
Yards per attempt8.255th
TD–INT15–3

Leading rusher (RB) · Cole Tabb

Rushing yards81220th
Season line91 carries, 812 yds, 10 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · JV Gibson

Receiving yards51593rd
Season line39 catches, 515 yds, 4 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Jonathan Thompson

Tackles6695th

Iowa State

QB · Jaylen Raynor

Attempts223
Completion %59.6%163rd
Passing yards1,672133rd
Yards per attempt7.5105th
TD–INT12–5

Leading rusher (RB) · Aiden Flora

Rushing yards1,1195th
Season line157 carries, 1119 yds, 9 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Jamal Polite Jr.

Receiving yards321281st
Season line17 catches, 321 yds, 2 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Sullivan Schlimgen

Tackles8416th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	Cincinnati	Iowa State
Early-down success rateCincinnati offense vs Iowa State defense	48.5%8th	42.9%72nd
Early-down success rateIowa State offense vs Cincinnati defense	48.1%130th	44.2%52nd
3rd-down conversion rateCincinnati offense vs Iowa State defense	46.3%27th	41.1%69th
3rd-down conversion rateIowa State offense vs Cincinnati defense	48.4%126th	36.1%105th
Explosive play rateCincinnati offense vs Iowa State defense	7.9%30th	8.5%119th
Explosive play rateIowa State offense vs Cincinnati defense	7.2%82nd	8.4%20th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	46.7%102nd-highest	47.4%93rd-highest

On 3rd down Cincinnati converts 46.3% (27th) against a Iowa State defense allowing 41.1% (69th).

On 3rd down Iowa State converts 36.1% (105th) against a Cincinnati defense allowing 48.4% (126th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	Cincinnati	Iowa State
Head coach	Scott Satterfield	Jimmy Rogers
Tenureat this school	4th season	1st season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	20–26	4–5
Career recordas an FBS head coach	92–66	10–11
Offensive coordinator	Nic Cardwell / Pete Thomas	Tyler Roehl
Defensive coordinator	Nate Woody	Jesse Bobbit

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 3 times since 2021: Cincinnati won 1 and Iowa State 2.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Oct 4, 2025	Iowa State 30, Cincinnati 38 Cincinnati won
Nov 16, 2024	Cincinnati 17, Iowa State 34 Iowa State won
Oct 14, 2023	Iowa State 30, Cincinnati 10 Iowa State won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams