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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

Nevada Wolf Pack vs Northern Illinois Huskies Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

Nevada Wolf Pack logo
3-5
Quarterback Carter Jones
at
Northern Illinois Huskies logo
0-8
Quarterback Taron Dickens
Saturday, November 14 · 3:30 PM ET
NEVOffense2026 regular season to dateNIU
123rd−0.101
EPA/play
+0.08758th
133rd39.8%
Success %
47.7%51st
91st22.5
PPG
15.6132nd
NEVDefenseNIU
37th−0.034
EPA/play allowed
+0.295136th
32nd44.0%
Success % allowed
52.7%134th
52nd24.0
Opp PPG
37.9133rd
NEVRecent formNIU
W@ UTEP 30-13L@ North Dakota State 17-31Wvs San José State 28-13L@ UCLA 0-27Lvs New Mexico 3-31
Resultsoldest to newest
Lvs Air Force 7-28L@ Wyoming 23-41Lvs Hawai'i 21-56L@ UNLV 24-31L@ San José State 19-30
3-6
Record
0-9
5-4
ATS
3-6
3-6
Over–under
4-5
NEVHome and roadseason to dateNIU
2-3
Home record
0-3
1-3
Road record
0-6
3-2
Home ATS
0-3
2-2
Road ATS
3-3
2-3
Home O/U
2-1
1-3
Road O/U
2-4
NEVLast 10 gamesNIU
+35-13-7-3+17-14+15-27-28
Game by game
-40-4-25-21-21-18-35-7-11
3-6
Last 9
0-9
-25
Net points
-182
Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)
Rest & travelrest and travel
NEVRest & travelNIU
8 days
Days of rest
7 days
1,624 mi2,614 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)
Travel to the game
Home
+2 hclock change vs home
Time-zone change
Home
Venue
Huskie Stadium
About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

Nevada (3-5) visits Northern Illinois (0-8) on Saturday, November 14 at 3:30 PM ET.

Nevada has the 123rd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 37th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Northern Illinois has the 58th-ranked offense and the 136th-ranked defense. When Nevada has the ball, a 123rd-ranked offense (−0.101 EPA per play) meets a 136th-ranked defense (+0.295 allowed); when Northern Illinois has it, a 58th-ranked offense (+0.087) meets a 37th-ranked defense (−0.034 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Nevada offense is at 39.8% (133rd) and the Northern Illinois offense at 47.7% (51st). Nevada scores 22.5 points per game (91st) and allows 24.0 (52nd); Northern Illinois scores 15.6 (132nd) and allows 37.9 (133rd).

Nevada is 3-6 and 5-4 against the spread; its last game was a 31-3 loss to New Mexico. Northern Illinois is 0-9 and 3-6 against the spread; its last game was a 30-19 loss to San José State.

Nevada is a 7-point road favorite, with Northern Illinois getting the points at home. The spread opened at Nevada -9.5. The total is 47.5, up from 46.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (Nevada -280, Northern Illinois +225) prices Nevada at 71% and Northern Illinois at 29%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 2.5
OpenNorthern Illinois +9.5 (-106)
Nevada -9.5 (-115)
NowNorthern Illinois +7 (-109)
Nevada -7 (-112)
Totalup 1
Open46.5 (o -110 / u -110)
Now47.5 (o -108 / u -111)
Moneyline
OpenNevada -376 76%
Northern Illinois +294 24%
NowNevada -280 71%
Northern Illinois +225 29%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

  • Nevada -7-105BetMGM
  • Northern Illinois +7-106Caesars
  • Over 47.5+100Novig
  • Under 47.5-105theScore Bet
  • Nevada-251Novig
  • Northern Illinois+240BetRivers

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score
Spread
Total
Win %

Matchup

Players to watch

Nevada Wolf Pack logo
Nevada
QB · Carter Jones
  • Attempts82
  • Completion %57.3%
  • Passing yards587
  • Yards per attempt7.2
  • TD–INT3–2
Leading rusher (RB) · Dominic Kelley
  • Rushing yards58470th
  • Season line122 carries, 584 yds, 5 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · Gary Givens III
  • Receiving yards308297th
  • Season line20 catches, 308 yds, 1 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · EJ Smith
  • Tackles946th
Northern Illinois Huskies logo
Northern Illinois
QB · Taron Dickens
  • Attempts283
  • Completion %64.7%81st
  • Passing yards1,87697th
  • Yards per attempt6.6190th
  • TD–INT9–7
Leading rusher (RB) · Telly Johnson Jr.
  • Rushing yards62954th
  • Season line110 carries, 629 yds, 6 TD
Leading receiver (WR) · DeAree Rogers
  • Receiving yards71927th
  • Season line70 catches, 719 yds, 5 TD
Leading tackler (LB) · Jack Murray
  • Tackles6788th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

SituationNevadaNorthern Illinois
Early-down success rateNevada offense vs Northern Illinois defense36.1%133rd45.4%108th
Early-down success rateNorthern Illinois offense vs Nevada defense39.9%23rd47.3%16th
3rd-down conversion rateNevada offense vs Northern Illinois defense42.0%55th57.1%138th
3rd-down conversion rateNorthern Illinois offense vs Nevada defense29.9%4th35.6%111th
Explosive play rateNevada offense vs Northern Illinois defense6.2%93rd8.9%125th
Explosive play rateNorthern Illinois offense vs Nevada defense4.9%10th6.4%85th
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks48.2%90th-highest57.9%14th-highest

On 3rd down Nevada converts 42.0% (55th) against a Northern Illinois defense allowing 57.1% (138th).

On 3rd down Northern Illinois converts 35.6% (111th) against a Nevada defense allowing 29.9% (4th).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

StaffNevadaNorthern Illinois
Head coachJeff ChoateRob Harley (interim) (interim)
Tenureat this school3rd season1st season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below9–250–9
Career recordas an FBS head coach9–250–9
Offensive coordinatorBret BartaloneTony Petersen
Defensive coordinatorKane IoaneD. J. Bland

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams

Nevada Wolf Pack

Northern Illinois Huskies

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