San Jose State Spartans vs Air Force Falcons Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026
SJSUOffense2026 regular season to dateAF
SJSUDefenseAFSJSULast 10 gamesAFRest & travelrest and travel
SJSURest & travelAFAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 10 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.
Matchup preview
San José State (4-5) visits Air Force (6-2) on Saturday, November 14 at 7:00 PM ET.
San José State has the 135th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 55th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Air Force has the 10th-ranked offense and the 118th-ranked defense. When San José State has the ball, a 135th-ranked offense (−0.153 EPA per play) meets a 118th-ranked defense (+0.175 allowed); when Air Force has it, a 10th-ranked offense (+0.240) meets a 55th-ranked defense (+0.024 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the San José State offense is at 38.9% (137th) and the Air Force offense at 53.7% (5th). San José State scores 19.9 points per game (116th) and allows 22.2 (37th); Air Force scores 28.0 (53rd) and allows 24.1 (53rd).
Air Force is 7-2 and 6-3 against the spread; its last game was a 24-21 win over Army.
Air Force is a 12.5-point favorite at home against San José State. The spread opened at Air Force -11.5. The total is 47.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (San José State +360, Air Force -480) prices San José State at 21% and Air Force at 79%.
Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.
Market
Odds and line movement
San José State +11.5 (-110)
San José State +12.5 (-110)
Air Force -450 79%
Air Force -480 79%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Best available prices on Nov 12
- San José State +12.5-102Novig
- Air Force -12.5-105DraftKings
- Over 47.5-102Novig
- Under 47.5-106Novig
- San José State+420FanDuel
- Air Force-420ProphetX
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts47
- Completion %57.4%
- Passing yards396
- Yards per attempt8.4
- TD–INT2–0
- Rushing yards68241st
- Season line163 carries, 682 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving yards68937th
- Season line61 catches, 689 yds, 5 TD
- Tackles8813th
- Attempts19
- Completion %68.4%
- Passing yards158
- Yards per attempt8.3
- TD–INT3–0
- Rushing yards54977th
- Season line86 carries, 549 yds, 7 TD
- Receiving yards166563rd
- Season line10 catches, 166 yds, 1 TD
- Tackles8416th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | San José State | Air Force |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateSan José State offense vs Air Force defense | 34.8%138th | 45.8%114th |
| Early-down success rateAir Force offense vs San José State defense | 43.6%82nd | 46.5%23rd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateSan José State offense vs Air Force defense | 30.0%130th | 38.4%52nd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateAir Force offense vs San José State defense | 35.2%27th | 52.7%7th |
| Explosive play rateSan José State offense vs Air Force defense | 5.3%120th | 7.2%83rd |
| Explosive play rateAir Force offense vs San José State defense | 5.0%12th | 5.1%126th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 52.2%55th-highest | 13.6%138th-highest |
On 3rd down San José State converts 30.0% (130th) against a Air Force defense allowing 38.4% (52nd).
On 3rd down Air Force converts 52.7% (7th) against a San José State defense allowing 35.2% (27th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | San José State | Air Force |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Ken Niumatalolo | Troy Calhoun |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 20th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 15–20 | 146–99 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 124–103 | 146–99 |
| Offensive coordinator | Craig Stutzmann | Mike Thiessen |
| Defensive coordinator | Bojay Filimoeatu | Steve Russ |
Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 3 times since 2021: San José State won 1 and Air Force 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Air Force 26, San José State 16 Air Force won | ||
| Sep 7, 2024 | San José State 17, Air Force 7 San José State won | ||
| Sep 22, 2023 | Air Force 45, San José State 20 Air Force won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Result
After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.
Teams
San Jose State Spartans
- San Jose State Spartans team stats
- Northern Illinois Huskies 19, San Jose State Spartans 30 (Nov 7)
- New Mexico Lobos 21, San Jose State Spartans 16 (Oct 31)
- San Jose State Spartans 13, Nevada Wolf Pack 28 (Oct 24)
Air Force Falcons
More NCAAF games on November 14, 2026
- Cincinnati Bearcats at Iowa State Cyclones (Nov 14)
- Wisconsin Badgers at Maryland Terrapins (Nov 14)
- Duke Blue Devils at Miami Hurricanes (Nov 14)
- Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs (Nov 14)
- Syracuse Orange at NC State Wolfpack (Nov 14)
- Northwestern Wildcats at Ohio State Buckeyes (Nov 14)
- Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs (Nov 14)
- James Madison Dukes at UConn Huskies (Nov 14)
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Clemson Tigers (Nov 14)
- Nebraska Cornhuskers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Nov 14)
- Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt Commodores (Nov 14)
- East Carolina Pirates at Charlotte 49ers (Nov 14)
- Arkansas State Red Wolves at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (Nov 14)
- UAB Blazers at Temple Owls (Nov 14)
Dig deeper
Follow the market every day
See every game's current line on the odds board, or check our fully tracked results.
Odds boardTracked results