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NCAAF · November 14, 2026

North Texas Mean Green vs UTSA Roadrunners Preview & Odds — November 14, 2026

North Texas Mean Green

6-2

Quarterback Tayven Jackson

UTSA Roadrunners

6-2

Quarterback Owen McCown

Saturday, November 14 · 9:00 PM ET

UNTOffense2026 regular season to dateUTSA

1st+0.370

EPA/play

+0.17924th

3rd53.9%

Success %

47.4%59th

1st42.4

PPG

31.530th

UNTDefenseUTSA

117th+0.174

EPA/play allowed

+0.164111th

125th51.0%

Success % allowed

50.4%119th

116th33.0

Opp PPG

31.5107th

UNTRecent formUTSA

W@ Tulsa 45-44Wvs Charlotte 50-10W@ Navy 49-39Wvs Florida Atlantic 48-41Wvs Rice 52-23

Resultsoldest to newest

W@ Rice 16-14Wvs South Florida 31-24Wvs Navy 38-34W@ Tulane 42-19L@ Florida Atlantic 29-60

7-2

Record

7-2

6-3

ATS

5-4

8-1

Over–under

6-3

UNTHome and roadseason to dateUTSA

5-0

Home record

4-0

2-2

Road record

3-2

4-1

Home ATS

2-2

Road ATS

3-2

4-1

Home O/U

4-0

Road O/U

2-3

UNTLast 10 gamesUTSA

Game by game

7-2

Last 9

7-2

+124

Net points

+29

Top third of the leagueMiddle thirdBottom thirdBar = league rank (full = 1st)

Rest & travelrest and travel

UNTRest & travelUTSA

7 days

Days of rest

9 days

273 mi439 km · straight-line from home arena (estimate)

Travel to the game

Home

Venueindoors

Alamodome

About these numbers

2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.

Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.

Margin of each of the last 9 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.

Distance is a straight-line estimate from each team's home arena, not the team's actual itinerary; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game this season (7 = a normal week); preseason games do not count. Schedule facts only: no fatigue adjustment is applied.

Matchup preview

North Texas (6-2) visits UTSA (6-2) on Saturday, November 14 at 9:00 PM ET.

North Texas has the 1st-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 117th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, UTSA has the 24th-ranked offense and the 111th-ranked defense. When North Texas has the ball, a 1st-ranked offense (+0.370 EPA per play) meets a 111th-ranked defense (+0.164 allowed); when UTSA has it, a 24th-ranked offense (+0.179) meets a 117th-ranked defense (+0.174 allowed).

By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the North Texas offense is at 53.9% (3rd) and the UTSA offense at 47.4% (59th). North Texas scores 42.4 points per game (1st) and allows 33.0 (116th); UTSA scores 31.5 (30th) and allows 31.5 (107th).

North Texas is 7-2 and 6-3 against the spread; its last game was a 52-23 win over Rice. UTSA is 7-2 and 5-4 against the spread; its last game was a 60-29 loss to Florida Atlantic.

North Texas is a 2.5-point road favorite, with UTSA getting the points at home. The spread opened at North Texas -1.5. The total is 76.5, unchanged from the open. After removing the vig, the moneyline (North Texas -125, UTSA +105) prices North Texas at 53% and UTSA at 47%.

Built from public team and player data; ranks are league-wide and update daily until kickoff.

Market

Odds and line movement

Spreadmoved 1

OpenUTSA +1.5 (-122)
North Texas -1.5 (-100)

NowUTSA +2.5 (-110)
North Texas -2.5 (-110)

Totalno move

Open76.5 (o -110 / u -110)

Now76.5 (o -109 / u -113)

Moneyline

OpenNorth Texas -110 50%
UTSA -110 50%

NowNorth Texas -125 53%
UTSA +105 47%

Consensus of US sportsbooks. The Now column updates from our odds board. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.

Best available prices on Nov 12

North Texas -2.5+100Novig
UTSA +2.5-102Novig
Over 76.5-105DraftKings
Under 76.5-110Fanatics
North Texas-120Novig
UTSA+115Novig

Members

G&W Line

G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics

Projected score

Spread

Total

Win %

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Matchup

Players to watch

North Texas

QB · Tayven Jackson

Attempts299
Completion %70.9%10th
Passing yards2,8715th
Yards per attempt9.611th
TD–INT23–5

Leading rusher (RB) · Jahiem White

Rushing yards1,1863rd
Season line163 carries, 1186 yds, 16 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Justin Stevenson

Receiving yards89810th
Season line55 catches, 898 yds, 8 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Zakye Barker

Tackles7155th

UTSA

QB · Owen McCown

Attempts278
Completion %68.0%28th
Passing yards2,01675th
Yards per attempt7.2135th
TD–INT13–4

Leading rusher (RB) · Will Henderson III

Rushing yards68241st
Season line120 carries, 682 yds, 5 TD

Leading receiver (WR) · Mekhi Anderson

Receiving yards434155th
Season line35 catches, 434 yds, 5 TD

Leading tackler (LB) · Darion White

Tackles59156th

Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 264 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured November 11, 5:34 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.

Success by situation

Situation	North Texas	UTSA
Early-down success rateNorth Texas offense vs UTSA defense	48.1%9th	47.6%126th
Early-down success rateUTSA offense vs North Texas defense	47.8%128th	43.2%62nd
3rd-down conversion rateNorth Texas offense vs UTSA defense	52.6%8th	40.2%61st
3rd-down conversion rateUTSA offense vs North Texas defense	44.1%103rd	42.5%50th
Explosive play rateNorth Texas offense vs UTSA defense	10.5%2nd	6.1%46th
Explosive play rateUTSA offense vs North Texas defense	8.9%126th	7.0%62nd
Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks	54.2%33rd-highest	50.0%75th-highest

On 3rd down North Texas converts 52.6% (8th) against a UTSA defense allowing 40.2% (61st).

On 3rd down UTSA converts 42.5% (50th) against a North Texas defense allowing 44.1% (103rd).

2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.

Coaching staff

Staff	North Texas	UTSA
Head coach	Neal Brown	Jeff Traylor
Tenureat this school	1st season	7th season
Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below	7–2	60–28
Career recordas an FBS head coach	79–53	60–28
Offensive coordinator	Mike Bloesch	Rick Bowie
Defensive coordinator	Bradley Dale Peveto / Matt Powledge	Jess Loepp

Staff list as of November 10, 6:50 a.m. ET.

Head-to-head

The teams have met 6 times since 2021: North Texas won 2 and UTSA 4.

Date	Score	Line	Total
Oct 18, 2025	UTSA 17, North Texas 55 North Texas won
Nov 15, 2024	North Texas 27, UTSA 48 UTSA won
Nov 4, 2023	UTSA 37, North Texas 29 UTSA won
Dec 2, 2022	North Texas 27, UTSA 48 UTSA won
Oct 22, 2022	North Texas 27, UTSA 31 UTSA won

Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.

Result

After the final: score vs the closing line, Drive X-Ray and the graded official play, if there was one, appear here on this same page.

Teams