Duke Blue Devils vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Final — October 10, 2026
DUKEOffense2026 regular season to dateGT
DUKEDefenseGTDUKERecent formGTDUKEHome and roadseason to dateGTDUKELast 10 gamesGTRest & travelrest and travel
DUKERest & travelGTAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 4 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Duke (3-0) visited Georgia Tech (0-3) on Saturday, October 10 at 3:30 PM ET.
Duke has the 68th-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 25th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Georgia Tech has the 57th-ranked offense and the 123rd-ranked defense. When Duke has the ball, a 68th-ranked offense (+0.066 EPA per play) meets a 123rd-ranked defense (+0.260 allowed); when Georgia Tech has it, a 57th-ranked offense (+0.098) meets a 25th-ranked defense (−0.074 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Duke offense is at 44.7% (90th) and the Georgia Tech offense at 51.4% (24th). Duke scores 27.7 points per game (61st) and allows 12.3 (6th); Georgia Tech scores 21.3 (92nd) and allows 31.0 (98th).
Duke is 4-0 and 4-0 against the spread; its last game was a 62-7 win over William & Mary. Georgia Tech is 1-3; its last game was a 34-27 loss to Stanford.
Duke closed as a 4.5-point road favorite, with Georgia Tech getting the points at home. The spread opened at Duke -6.5. The total closed at 45.5, down from 51 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Duke -205, Georgia Tech +165) prices Duke at 64% and Georgia Tech at 36%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Duke Blue Devils 25, Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 28
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +4.5): Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets covered.
- Combined score 53 vs the closing total of 45.5: Over.
- Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets closed at +165 on the moneyline (a 36% no-vig market-implied chance).
Market
Closing line and line movement
Duke -6.5 (-118)
Duke -4.5 (-115)
Georgia Tech +210 31%
Georgia Tech +165 36%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts93
- Completion %62.4%122nd
- Passing yards721205th
- Yards per attempt7.8105th
- TD–INT6–1
- Rushing yards6443rd
- Season line91 carries, 644 yds, 6 TD
- Receiving yards195221st
- Season line13 catches, 195 yds
- Tackles23375th
- Attempts123
- Completion %68.3%42nd
- Passing yards975118th
- Yards per attempt7.995th
- TD–INT6–3
- Rushing yards39335th
- Season line73 carries, 393 yds, 3 TD
- Receiving yards241146th
- Season line16 catches, 241 yds
- Tackles25296th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 256 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Duke | Georgia Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateDuke offense vs Georgia Tech defense | 42.0%81st | 43.7%77th |
| Early-down success rateGeorgia Tech offense vs Duke defense | 44.7%89th | 47.7%26th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateDuke offense vs Georgia Tech defense | 38.9%80th | 46.5%111th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateGeorgia Tech offense vs Duke defense | 30.6%13th | 41.7%65th |
| Explosive play rateDuke offense vs Georgia Tech defense | 6.7%73rd | 6.7%71st |
| Explosive play rateGeorgia Tech offense vs Duke defense | 4.3%10th | 8.4%35th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 37.1%129th-highest | 57.4%15th-highest |
On 3rd down Duke converts 38.9% (80th) against a Georgia Tech defense allowing 46.5% (111th).
On 3rd down Georgia Tech converts 41.7% (65th) against a Duke defense allowing 30.6% (13th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Duke | Georgia Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Manny Diaz | Brent Key |
| Tenureat this school | 3rd season | 5th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 22–9 | 28–23 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 43–24 | 28–23 |
| Offensive coordinator | Jonathan Brewer | George Godsey / Chris Weinke |
| Defensive coordinator | Jonathan Patke | Jason Semore |
Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 4 times since 2021: Duke won 0 and Georgia Tech 4.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Georgia Tech 27, Duke 18 Georgia Tech won | ||
| Oct 5, 2024 | Duke 14, Georgia Tech 24 Georgia Tech won | ||
| Oct 8, 2022 | Duke 20, Georgia Tech 23 Georgia Tech won | ||
| Oct 9, 2021 | Georgia Tech 31, Duke 27 Georgia Tech won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Duke Blue Devils
- Duke Blue Devils team stats
- Boston College Eagles at Duke Blue Devils (Oct 31)
- Duke Blue Devils 19, Virginia Cavaliers 16 (Oct 23)
- North Carolina Tar Heels 24, Duke Blue Devils 20 (Oct 17)
- Stanford Cardinal 7, Duke Blue Devils 35 (Sep 19)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
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