Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners Final — October 10, 2026
TEXOffense2026 regular season to dateOU
TEXDefenseOUTEXRecent formOUTEXHome and roadseason to dateOUTEXLast 10 gamesOURest & travelrest and travel
TEXRest & travelOUAbout these numbers
2026 regular season to date, captured before kickoff. League rank in small type (138 teams); the gold side ranks higher. Bars show rank, longest = 1st. Source: Gridiron & Wine public Analytics tables.
Last five results this season, oldest to newest. Records are season to date, with home and road splits. Against-the-spread (ATS) and over–under records use the consensus closing line.
Margin of each of the last 4 games this season, oldest to newest (gold = won). Hover a bar for the score margin.
Distance is straight-line from each team's home arena; time-zone change is at game time. Rest counts days since each team's previous game.
The pre-game matchup
Texas (4-0) visited Oklahoma (2-2) on Saturday, October 10 at 3:30 PM ET.
Texas has the 73rd-ranked offense by EPA per play (expected points added per snap) and the 20th-ranked defense (ranks among the 138 teams with play-by-play data). Meanwhile, Oklahoma has the 128th-ranked offense and the 13th-ranked defense. When Texas has the ball, a 73rd-ranked offense (+0.051 EPA per play) meets a 13th-ranked defense (−0.144 allowed); when Oklahoma has it, a 128th-ranked offense (−0.174) meets a 20th-ranked defense (−0.092 allowed).
By success rate (the share of plays that gain expected points), the Texas offense is at 48.9% (47th) and the Oklahoma offense at 40.9% (121st). Texas scores 33.2 points per game (31st) and allows 13.2 (8th); Oklahoma scores 22.0 (88th) and allows 16.0 (17th).
Texas is 4-0 and 1-3 against the spread; its last game was a 20-17 win over Tennessee. Oklahoma is 2-2 and 1-3 against the spread; its last game was a 41-13 loss to Georgia.
Texas closed as a 7.5-point road favorite, with Oklahoma getting the points at home. The spread opened at Texas -9.5. The total closed at 40.5, down from 41.5 at the open. After removing the vig, the closing moneyline (Texas -345, Oklahoma +270) prices Texas at 74% and Oklahoma at 26%.
Written from the numbers available before kickoff.
Result
Final score and result vs the closing line
Texas Longhorns 24, Oklahoma Sooners 27
Oklahoma Sooners won by 3.
- Against the closing spread (Oklahoma Sooners +7.5): Oklahoma Sooners covered.
- Combined score 51 vs the closing total of 40.5: Over.
- Oklahoma Sooners closed at +270 on the moneyline (a 26% no-vig market-implied chance).
Before the game: market and G&W
From open to close the market moved 1 point toward Oklahoma Sooners.
Market numbers are the consensus moneyline with the bookmaker margin removed.
Win probability
Each team's chance of winning through the game, starting from the market's closing price (Texas Longhorns 74%, Oklahoma Sooners 26%) and moving with every snap until the final.
Biggest swings
- Q4 10:07 — Texas Longhorns ball, 2nd & 13 at TEX 20No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass intercepted by #22 P.Bowen at UT42 #22 P.Bowen return 42 yards to the UT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:07 #29 T.Sandell kick attempt good (H…Oklahoma Sooners 38% → 69% (+31 pts) · Drive 23 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 1:54 — Texas Longhorns ball, 4th & 2 at OU 35#44 G.Spetic field goal attempt from 53 yards NO GOOD (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc), clock 01:54Oklahoma Sooners 32% → 61% (+29 pts) · Drive 26 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:19 — Texas Longhorns ball, 2nd & 10 at OU 49No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass intercepted by #4 C.Guillory at OU39 QB hurried by #2 O.Robinson, End Of PlayOklahoma Sooners 35% → 54% (+19 pts) · Drive 28 in Drive X-Ray
- Q4 0:15 — Oklahoma Sooners ball, 1st & 10 at TEX 48Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete deep right to #1 I.Sategna III caught at UT28, for 20 yards to the UT28 (#29 G.Littleton), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. The previo…Oklahoma Sooners 61% → 77% (+16 pts) · Drive 29 in Drive X-Ray
- OT — Oklahoma Sooners ball, 2nd & 12 at TEX 30Tate Sandell 47 Yd Field GoalOklahoma Sooners 69% → 100% (+31 pts) · Drive 29 in Drive X-Ray
Oklahoma Sooners won after falling as low as 7% (Q2 2:00).
Game DNA
| Texas | Points added | Oklahoma |
|---|---|---|
| -15.8 | Passingdropbacks | -8.2 |
| -0.5 | Rushingdesigned runs | -6.8 |
| +12.5 | Explosive plays4 plays · 2 plays | +5.4 |
| -7.0 | Turnovers2 giveaways · 0 giveaways | +0.0 |
| -6.5 | Special teamskicks, punts and returns | +10.3 |
| -2.6 | Penaltiespre-snap and dead-ball | +1.5 |
| +2.9 | Red zoneTDs on trips: 1 of 2 · 1 of 1 | +0.9 |
| -16.9 | All plays | +3.1 |
The biggest single gap: special teams, worth about 16.8 points to Oklahoma Sooners. The final margin was 3.
Points added: what each team's plays added to its expected points, credited to the team with the ball. Each play counts once.
Line review
Texas Longhorns closed as the market favourite at 74% and lost.
The line moved toward Oklahoma Sooners before kickoff, and they won.
Market
Closing line and line movement
Texas -9.5 (-112)
Texas -7.5 (-112)
Oklahoma +292 24%
Oklahoma +270 26%
Consensus of US sportsbooks. Open = first line after both teams' previous games; Close = consensus at kickoff. Percentages are the moneyline's no-vig market-implied chances.
Members
G&W Line
G&W’s own number for this game, next to the market. Analytics
Matchup
Players to watch
- Attempts116
- Completion %63.8%100th
- Passing yards865144th
- Yards per attempt7.5124th
- TD–INT7–3
- Rushing yards198192nd
- Season line41 carries, 198 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving yards239153rd
- Season line19 catches, 239 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles29192nd
- Attempts109
- Completion %66.1%68th
- Passing yards883138th
- Yards per attempt8.184th
- TD–INT8–4
- Rushing yards164256th
- Season line42 carries, 164 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving yards267109th
- Season line20 catches, 267 yds, 2 TD
- Tackles27245th
Season passing totals from public box scores, captured before kickoff. Ranks among the 256 quarterbacks with at least 60 attempts. Rushing, receiving and tackle leaders: season totals captured October 7, 5:35 a.m. ET; ranks among FBS players.
Success by situation
| Situation | Texas | Oklahoma |
|---|---|---|
| Early-down success rateTexas offense vs Oklahoma defense | 43.9%60th | 40.0%27th |
| Early-down success rateOklahoma offense vs Texas defense | 37.5%13th | 37.3%126th |
| 3rd-down conversion rateTexas offense vs Oklahoma defense | 48.1%27th | 26.8%3rd |
| 3rd-down conversion rateOklahoma offense vs Texas defense | 31.9%20th | 41.0%68th |
| Explosive play rateTexas offense vs Oklahoma defense | 4.5%121st | 5.0%21st |
| Explosive play rateOklahoma offense vs Texas defense | 4.7%18th | 8.3%38th |
| Pass rateshare of plays that are passes or sacks | 49.0%82nd-highest | 52.8%53rd-highest |
On 3rd down Texas converts 48.1% (27th) against a Oklahoma defense allowing 26.8% (3rd).
On 3rd down Oklahoma converts 41.0% (68th) against a Texas defense allowing 31.9% (20th).
2026 regular season before kickoff, from play-by-play with garbage time removed; ranks among the 138 teams in the play-by-play data (defense: 1st = allows the least). Success = a play that gains expected points.
Coaching staff
| Staff | Texas | Oklahoma |
|---|---|---|
| Head coach | Steve Sarkisian | Brent Venables |
| Tenureat this school | 6th season | 5th season |
| Record at schoolthis season included, as of the date below | 50–20 | 34–22 |
| Career recordas an FBS head coach | 96–55 | 34–22 |
| Offensive coordinator | Kyle Flood | Ben Arbuckle |
| Defensive coordinator | Will Muschamp / Johnny Nansen | Todd Bates |
Staff list as of October 6, 6:50 a.m. ET.
Head-to-head
The teams have met 5 times since 2021: Texas won 3 and Oklahoma 2.
| Date | Score | Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 neutral | Oklahoma 6, Texas 23 Texas won | ||
| Oct 12, 2024 neutral | Texas 34, Oklahoma 3 Texas won | ||
| Oct 7, 2023 neutral | Oklahoma 34, Texas 30 Oklahoma won | ||
| Oct 8, 2022 neutral | Texas 49, Oklahoma 0 Texas won | ||
| Oct 9, 2021 neutral | Oklahoma 55, Texas 48 Oklahoma won |
Meetings since 2021, most recent first. Line and total are the consensus closing numbers where line history is available.
Teams
Texas Longhorns
- Texas Longhorns team stats
- Mississippi State Bulldogs at Texas Longhorns (Oct 31)
- Ole Miss Rebels 27, Texas Longhorns 34 (Oct 24)
- Florida Gators 27, Texas Longhorns 24 (Oct 17)
- UTSA Roadrunners 6, Texas Longhorns 30 (Sep 19)
Oklahoma Sooners
More NCAAF games on October 10, 2026
- Tulane Green Wave 17, Army Black Knights 20 (Oct 10)
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- Wake Forest Demon Deacons 38, NC State Wolfpack 14 (Oct 10)
- Indiana Hoosiers 20, Nebraska Cornhuskers 17 (Oct 10)
- UCF Knights 28, Oklahoma State Cowboys 42 (Oct 10)
- North Carolina Tar Heels 21, Pittsburgh Panthers 17 (Oct 10)
- Arizona Wildcats 52, West Virginia Mountaineers 31 (Oct 10)
- Ball State Cardinals 14, Northwestern Wildcats 45 (Oct 10)
- South Carolina Gamecocks 38, Florida Gators 19 (Oct 10)
- Old Dominion Monarchs 10, Appalachian State Mountaineers 3 (Oct 10)
- Rice Owls 12, East Carolina Pirates 28 (Oct 10)
- Miami (OH) RedHawks 20, UMass Minutemen 19 (Oct 10)
- Eastern Michigan Eagles 25, Akron Zips 23 (Oct 10)
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